New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 7/28/25, 6:15 PM  by Erik Gibbs | Modified on 7/29/25 at 1:10 AM in MLB Picks

The San Diego Padres host the New York Mets at Petco Park on July 28, 2025, opening a three-game series. San Diego enters with a 57–49 record (31–18 at home), sitting second in the NL West, while New York is 62–44 (25–28 on the road) and leads the NL East. The Mets are red-hot, riding a seven-game winning streak after sweeping the Giants in San Francisco.

In contrast, the Padres have won two straight games in St. Louis following a brief three-game skid. Manny Machado has helped spark San Diego’s recent uptick with a four-hit performance in a 9–2 win over the Cardinals, carrying momentum into this matchup.

San Diego’s offense is finding a rhythm, posting a .316 team on-base percentage and slugging six homers over their last 10 games. Machado is on a five-game hitting streak, batting .619 in that span with four doubles, a homer, and 6 RBIs. He leads the team in average (.300), home runs (19), and RBIs (66). Luis Arraez has also been productive, batting .390 during a 10-game hit streak.

The Mets, meanwhile, are scoring 4.2 runs per game over their last 10 and have belted nine home runs in that span. Brandon Nimmo is batting .282 with 7 RBIs over the last 10 games, and Brett Baty has added a .290 average with a couple of homers. Juan Soto leads the Mets with 25 home runs, and Pete Alonso has added 22 home runs and 81 RBIs. New York leads the NL with a 3.52 team ERA and has outscored opponents by nine runs over the last 10 games.