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by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks
The Phillies-Mets series continues to move in the same direction it's been all year, with the home team usually winning. The Mets swept the Phillies in three games in Queens, but the Phillies are getting even at Citizens Bank Park, beating them 1-0 on Monday, 9-3 on Tuesday, and starting as -180 favorites to win on Wednesday.
This is bad news for the Mets, who then lost their last four games, bringing the Giants back within 2.5 games of the final NL wild card.
More than the hitting, it's the starting pitching that has been weakening for the Mets. After McLean's solid performance in Monday's loss, Manaea didn't have a standout performance on Tuesday, allowing two home runs and four runs. With this, the Mets' starting pitching ERA in the last 10 games rose to 6.80.
On the Mets' favorable side, few would dare to say that Juan Soto, the highest-paid player in MLB, had a bad season with the Mets. Even with his slow start, the Dominican became the fifth player in Mets history to have a 30-30 season.
The Phillies won Game 2 of this series by 6 runs as -135 betting favorites.
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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.593 | 162 | 96 | 66 |
|
13
|
0.512 | 162 | 83 | 79 |
New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 4, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 28, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 1, 2025 - MLB
New York Mets against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
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New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- The Phillies won Game 2 of this series by 6 runs as -135 betting favorites
- The Mets struck out 14 times in Tuesday's loss
- Pete Alonso went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in Tuesday's loss
- 40-19, the Phillies' home record and betting favorite
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Our New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Phillies' stars and hotshot players are responding like never before. That's why the Phillies' World Series championship odds are currently at +600; Only the Dodgers are more favored.
On Tuesday, Venezuelan Ranger Suárez pitched six innings, striking out 12, marking the third outing in his last five in which he has struck out 10 or more.
But the most beloved Phillie right now is Schwarber; he went 1-for-5, but his hit was a three-run homer to lead off the game, the 50th of his epic season.
Our prediction for Phillies vs Mets is: Phillies -1.5.
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