New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
9/9/25 18:45
Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction:

 

Philadelphia Phillies wins the match

-130
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 by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks

Aaron Nola had a prime-back-then outing when he pitched six scoreless innings, striking out seven, in the electrifying Phillies-Mets series on Monday, with Citizens Bank Park packing up to 40,000 fans on a Monday.

The series opener, which ended any chance the Mets had of the Phillies' division lead, was a true pitching duel. The Mets' two-way player, Nola McLean, performed admirably, holding off the Phillies, but Castellano's RBI single, which drove in Kepler, proved to be the game's only run.

For the Phillies, closer Durán got the final three outs, with drama, allowing a hit by Alonso and a double by Vientos, but he recovered in remarkable fashion, striking out McNeil and Francisco Álvarez.

The stars on both sides had a quiet night at the plate; Harper went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts, and Schwarber went 0-for-3, but Bader went 3-for-4. For the Mets, Lindor went 0-for-3 with one strikeout; the same was true for Soto. Only Alonso had two hits for the Mets.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Form

Table

Teams % P W L
2
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
0.583 144 84 60
11
New York Mets
New York Mets
0.528 144 76 68

New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  6
Detroit Tigers

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  5
Detroit Tigers
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  1
New York Mets

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
11 :  8
New York Mets

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
9 :  19
New York Mets

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  4
New York Mets

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  6
New York Mets

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
New York Mets
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  6
Detroit Tigers

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
12 :  5
Detroit Tigers
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  5
Miami Marlins

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  2
Miami Marlins

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
Miami Marlins

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  0
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
1 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  19
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  5
Miami Marlins

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  2
Miami Marlins

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
Miami Marlins

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  0
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
10 :  8
Milwaukee Brewers

New York Mets against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

67 %

Philadelphia Phillies

33 %

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  6
New York Mets

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  6
New York Mets

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  13
New York Mets

Jun 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points

  1. The Mets have won seven of their last 10 games against the Phillies
  2. 29-17, the Phillies' record in 2025 in Game 2 of the series
  3. The Mets' starting pitching ERA in the last 10 games is 6.42
  4. The Mets have lost their last three games

Our New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The 2025 Phillies-Mets series has clearly seen a trend toward the home team dominating. In two separate series, the Phillies visited Queens, and their division rival inflicted two atypical sweeps on both occasions. When the Mets came to Philadelphia, the Phillies had won the previous series 2 games to 1, winning their games by a margin of 5 runs or more.

Once again, the trend doesn't seem to change with the Phillies' victory on Monday.

On Tuesday, Venezuelan Ranger Suárez will start for the Phillies, in excellent form. In his recent outings against the Mariners and Nats, he has struck out 10 or more, and in his last outing, he didn't allow a run in six innings in a game the Phillies won 2-0 over the Marlins.

Our prediction for Phillies vs Mets is: Phillies ML.

Prediction:

 

Philadelphia Phillies wins the match

-130
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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks