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by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks
Aaron Nola had a prime-back-then outing when he pitched six scoreless innings, striking out seven, in the electrifying Phillies-Mets series on Monday, with Citizens Bank Park packing up to 40,000 fans on a Monday.
The series opener, which ended any chance the Mets had of the Phillies' division lead, was a true pitching duel. The Mets' two-way player, Nola McLean, performed admirably, holding off the Phillies, but Castellano's RBI single, which drove in Kepler, proved to be the game's only run.
For the Phillies, closer Durán got the final three outs, with drama, allowing a hit by Alonso and a double by Vientos, but he recovered in remarkable fashion, striking out McNeil and Francisco Álvarez.
The stars on both sides had a quiet night at the plate; Harper went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts, and Schwarber went 0-for-3, but Bader went 3-for-4. For the Mets, Lindor went 0-for-3 with one strikeout; the same was true for Soto. Only Alonso had two hits for the Mets.
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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
2
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0.583 | 144 | 84 | 60 |
11
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0.528 | 144 | 76 | 68 |
New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 8, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 2, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 26, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 8, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 8, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 4, 2025 - MLB
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 8, 2025 - MLB
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
Aug 29, 2025 - MLB
Aug 28, 2025 - MLB
Aug 24, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Sep 4, 2025 - MLB
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
Sep 1, 2025 - MLB
New York Mets against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Sep 8, 2025 - MLB
Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
Aug 26, 2025 - MLB
Aug 25, 2025 - MLB
Jun 22, 2025 - MLB
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New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- The Mets have won seven of their last 10 games against the Phillies
- 29-17, the Phillies' record in 2025 in Game 2 of the series
- The Mets' starting pitching ERA in the last 10 games is 6.42
- The Mets have lost their last three games
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Our New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The 2025 Phillies-Mets series has clearly seen a trend toward the home team dominating. In two separate series, the Phillies visited Queens, and their division rival inflicted two atypical sweeps on both occasions. When the Mets came to Philadelphia, the Phillies had won the previous series 2 games to 1, winning their games by a margin of 5 runs or more.
Once again, the trend doesn't seem to change with the Phillies' victory on Monday.
On Tuesday, Venezuelan Ranger Suárez will start for the Phillies, in excellent form. In his recent outings against the Mariners and Nats, he has struck out 10 or more, and in his last outing, he didn't allow a run in six innings in a game the Phillies won 2-0 over the Marlins.
Our prediction for Phillies vs Mets is: Phillies ML.
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