New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 9/8/25, 3:45 PM  by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks

The New York Mets have beaten the Philadelphia Phillies in their last three meetings.

On Monday, the Mets will go for their fourth straight win over the Phillies in Game 1 of a crucial four-game series at Citizens Bank Park.

Mets are listed as -122 road favorites, though 54 percent of the total bets have been placed on the Phillies at +104 moneyline, or a payout of $204 on a $1o0 bet.

Current Form:

The Mets have lost 3 of their last four games, including the last two games of the just-concluded series with the Cincinnati Reds. After scoring 12 runs in a win over the Detroit Tigers last week, New York has never scored more than five runs again in their next four games. The Mets have averaged 4.8 runs per game on a .278 batting average. Carrying a 3.94 ERA over this five-game spell, New York will start Nolan McClean, who has gone 4-0 with a 1.171 ERA in his first four starts in the MLB.

the Phillies could not secure a sweep against the Marlins following Sunday’s 4-5 loss in Miami. Nevertheless, Philadelphia has gone 3-2 in its last five games, averaging 4.4 runs per game on a 2.90 BA and posting a sturdy 3.35 ERA. The Phillies have tapped Aaron Nola to start in Monday’s series opener versus the Mets. Nola has surrendered 27 runs across his last five stints on the bump, raising his ERA in the period to 10.57.