New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Mets
9/27/25 16:10
Miami Marlins

Prediction:

 

Marlins +1.

-130
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 by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks

Incredibly, the odds of the Mets, the team with the hottest start in MLB, making the playoffs don't depend entirely on the New York team. In fact, after the Reds' victory over the Brewers on Friday and the Mets' loss to the Marlins, the odds show the Mets' postseason chances are now less than 50%, given that the Reds won the home series against the Mets.

If there's one team that can be confident heading into 2026, it's the Marlins, who will likely finish the season as the hottest team in MLB. No one could have predicted that the mathematical elimination of this Marlins team would come just three games from the end of the season. Winning the game 6-2 at LoanDepot Park, this young Marlins team has won 13 games in the month and eight of its last 10.

The Mets' starting pitching stopped working as well as it did at the beginning of the season. Mendoza went with Sproat for Game 1 against the Marlins, but things didn't go well for him; Sproat allowed four earned runs.

As for the Mets' bats, Lindor stood out in this key game with his 31st home run of the season, followed by an RBI double by Alonso that drove in Soto. However, after that inning, Alcántara, the former Cy Young hitter, regained his best form in the Mets' least favorable game

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New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Form

Table

Teams % P W L
13
New York Mets
New York Mets
0.513 160 82 78
19
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
0.488 160 78 82

New York Mets and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  6
Miami Marlins

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  5
Chicago Cubs

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  10
Chicago Cubs

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
9 :  7
Chicago Cubs

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  2
New York Mets

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  3
New York Mets
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  2
New York Mets

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  3
New York Mets

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
6 :  12
New York Mets

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  6
New York Mets

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  6
Miami Marlins

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  5
Chicago Cubs

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  10
Chicago Cubs

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
9 :  7
Chicago Cubs

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  11
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  6
Miami Marlins

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  11
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
Texas Rangers

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Texas Rangers
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  6
Miami Marlins

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
2 :  0
Miami Marlins

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  6
Miami Marlins

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
2 :  8
Miami Marlins

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
0 :  5
Miami Marlins

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  8
Miami Marlins
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
1 :  11
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
Texas Rangers

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Texas Rangers

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  4
Texas Rangers

New York Mets against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Mets

17 %

Miami Marlins

83 %

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  6
Miami Marlins

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  1
New York Mets

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
11 :  8
New York Mets

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
9 :  19
New York Mets

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  4
New York Mets

Apr 9, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  0
New York Mets

New York Mets - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. The Mets had just six hits, while the Marlins had 10 in Friday's game
  2. The Marlins had a seven-game winning streak in September
  3. 33-46: The Mets' road record this season
  4. 24-26: The Mets' record against division opponents this season
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Our New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Mets still have hope, given that the Reds' series is against the Brewers, the team with the best record in MLB, at American Family Field. Still, any playoff hope for the Mets hinges on two wins in Miami starting Saturday.

On Friday, the Marlins performed and won as they intend to in 2026, with Edwards and Ramírez batting second and third in the order. They got back Norby, the valuable third baseman, who hit his eighth home run, a tremendous upset for the Mets.

Saturday's pitching duel will pit Clay Holmes against Miami's Eury Pérez, another young Marlins pitcher with very high projections. As if that weren't enough, the Marlins won 64 games this season as betting underdogs.

Our prediction for Marlins vs Mets is: Marlins +1.

Prediction:

 

Marlins +1.

-130
$400+ offered for betting!

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New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Picks
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