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by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks
The third game of a pivotal four-game series between the New York Mets and the Los Angeles Dodgers is set to unfold tonight at Dodger Stadium, with both teams looking to gain the upper hand. After splitting the first two matchups, this contest serves as a crucial tiebreaker in what has been a closely contested battle between two National League division leaders. The Dodgers narrowly took Game 2 with a one-run victory, but the Mets have been playing sharp baseball recently, winning four of their last five before that tight loss.
Entering tonight’s clash, the Mets hold a narrow lead atop the NL East, just half a game ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies. Every game carries weight as the division race intensifies, and New York will be eager to bounce back and regain momentum. Their recent form suggests they’re up to the task, but tonight’s pitching matchup poses challenges on both sides.
Los Angeles continues to face adversity on the mound, with injuries depleting their bullpen. Relievers like Michael Kopech and Giovanny Gallegos remain sidelined, putting more pressure on the starters to go deeper into games. Even so, the Dodgers have managed to maintain a dominant 22-10 home record, an advantage they’ll look to exploit once again tonight.
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New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
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4
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0.619 | 63 | 39 | 24 |
5
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0.603 | 63 | 38 | 25 |
New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers Latest Matches

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New York Mets against Los Angeles Dodgers : Head to Head (H2H)
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New York Mets - Los Angeles Dodgers Key Points
- The Dodgers 28-32 ATS in their last 60 games
- The Dodgers are 31-29 ATS in their last 60 games
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last 7 home games after an extra innings win
- The Mets are 1-8 against the run line in their last 9 Wednesday night games vs National League teams when underdogs
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Our New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Griffin Canning will take the mound for the Mets. He has posted a respectable 5-2 record with a 3.23 ERA and 50 strikeouts so far this season. Despite a solid start to 2025, Canning has stumbled in recent outings, including a tough showing against the White Sox in his last appearance.
Historically, he’s been average against the Dodgers, with a 2-1 record but a bloated 4.56 ERA over five starts. His command and ability to keep the ball in the park will be critical, especially against a Dodgers lineup that remains one of the most dangerous in baseball.
The Dodgers counter with Tony Gonsolin, who brings a mixed bag of results into this one. With a 3-1 record and 5.23 ERA on the year, Gonsolin has struggled with consistency. Over his last three starts, he’s allowed six home runs and has as many walks as strikeouts — a troubling sign when facing a disciplined Mets lineup. However, Gonsolin’s career numbers at Dodger Stadium and his 2.81 ERA against the Mets suggest he can deliver when it counts, particularly in familiar surroundings.
Both lineups have the firepower to exploit shaky pitching, so expect a competitive game with momentum swings. If Gonsolin can find his rhythm early and neutralize New York’s bats, the Dodgers have a strong chance to reclaim control of the series heading into the finale. Our prediction for LA Dodgers vs. NY Mets: Dodgers to win at home.
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