New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 9/6/25, 3:33 PM  by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks

Winner in 3 of their last 4 games, the New York Mets currently offer +119 value on a -1.5-run line before Saturday’s Game 2 against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ballpark.

That means a profit of $119 for every $100 bet if the Mets win by at least two runs against the Cincinnati Reds in this game.

Current Form:

The Mets are not giving up the fight for the NL East title. At 76-65, New York only trails the 82-59 Philadelphia Phillies by 6.0 games with a lot of baseball left to play in September. The Mets have been an excellent pitching team this season. However, New York has posted a significant increase in its ERA recently, jumping from their season average of 3.93 ERA to 5.52 ERA over the last five games. Fortunately, the Mets’ offense has been steady this past week, averaging 6.0 runs per game on a .277 batting average in their last five assignments.

The Reds dropped one game below .500 at 70-71 after losing their last three games, including a 4-5 loss to the Mets in Friday’s series opener. Cincinnati, which sports an elite 3.96 ERA this season, has allowed a total of 30 runs in the last three games alone, hiking its ERA over the last five games to 7.00. The Reds are averaging 7.1 runs per game in this stretch, but their pathetic pitching has cost them at least two wins this week.