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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
Tied with the Cincinnati Reds for the final wild card berth in the National League, the New York Mets are set to open a crucial series with the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday at Wrigley Field.
The Mets are +100 underdogs to the Cubs despite winning six of their last 10 meetings.
Current Form:
The New York Mets dropped the last two games of the previous series with the Washington Nationals, bringing their record down to 80-76. This puts them tied with the Cincinnati Reds for the No.3 wild card spot in the NL. The Cubs lost all four games against the Reds in their series over the weekend. Despite the losing streak, Chicago has already secured a wild-card spot with an 88-68 record.
Ket Stats Over The Last Five Games:
The Mets have pitched to a 2.93 ERA while averaging a solid 5.4 runs per game on a .270 BA over the last five games. As for the Cubs, Chicago has posted a 3.95 ERA and averaged 3.0 runs per game on a .211 batting average.
Pitchers Matchup:
Mets LHP David Peterson (9-6, 3.98 ERA) vs. Cubs RHP Cade Horton (11-4, 2.96 ERA).
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New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.564 | 156 | 88 | 68 |
|
13
|
0.513 | 156 | 80 | 76 |
New York Mets and Chicago Cubs Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
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New York Mets against Chicago Cubs : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
May 11, 2025 - MLB
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New York Mets - Chicago Cubs Key Points
- Chicago Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games played in September.
- Chicago Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- NY Mets is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Chicago Cubs.
- NY Mets is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games.
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Our New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
The Mets face a do-or-die scenario in each of the six remaining games left on their schedule. New York enters the final regular-season series with the Cubs with a 6-4 record in their last 10 meetings and 3-1 in their last four. However, the Mets are scheduled to take on the Cubs' top-flight pitcher Cade Horton, who has sported a 1.32 ERA in his last five starts. David Peterson has been unreliable recently, as he has gone 1-4 with a 9.00 ERA in his last five starts. The Mets’ bullpen has maintained an excellent 1.80 ERA over their previous five games, while the Mets' relief pitchers have surrendered a 4.20 ERA in their last five assignments.
The Mets will try to leverage their offense and bullpen to earn a crucial win over the Cubs. With Peterson dealing with erratic pitching, New York will attempt to outgun the Cubs and hold them off with their bullpen in the late innings. It won’t be easy, especially since they play on the road. However, with a wild-card berth already locked up, the Cubs don't have enough reasons to go all out and risk injuries in a non-bearing game.
Our betting prediction for the Chicago Cubs vs. the New York Mets: the Mets will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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