Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks - WNBA
USA - WNBA
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by Sarah Lou Jones | in WNBA Picks
We should be in for an intriguing matchup as New York Liberty head to the PHX Arena to face Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA. While the Liberty are clear favorites to win the match, they must be wary of a resurging Mercury who are on a three game win streak. Mercury's PCT still stands at a poor .379 but their recent victories would've given Phoenix a much needed confidence boost. As for the Liberty, they have a PCT of a respectable, if not spectacular, .552. New York were themselves on a three match win streak but this came to an end as they lost 104-99 to Las Vegas Aces.
Mercury's home record leaves a lot to be desired, with five wins and nine defeats. Liberty on the road has an 8-8 record. New York also have an impressive recent record against Mercury, winning the last two head-to-heads.
While this is a match the Liberty should win, the odds on their victory don't provide much value, especially when you consider the current form of Phoenix Mercury. Instead, our pick is based on the Totals market. Over 175.5 points have been scored in each of Liberty's last six WMBA games. In four of Mercury's last six games, over 175.5 points have been netted.
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Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.552 | 29 | 16 | 13 | |
|
9
|
0.379 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 3 |
Phoenix Mercury and New York Liberty Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 29, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 29, 2026 - WNBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 13, 2026 - WNBA
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Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 30, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 28, 2026 - WNBA
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Jul 20, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 18, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 12, 2026 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA
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Jul 3, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 30, 2026 - WNBA Commissioner Cup
Jun 19, 2026 - WNBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 30, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 28, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 20, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 18, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 12, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 11, 2026 - WNBA
Phoenix Mercury against New York Liberty : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
May 29, 2026 - WNBA
May 27, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA
Players list
D. Bonner
M. Akoa-Makani
A. Thomas
K. Copper
N. Brochant
S. Ionescu
P. Astier
B. Stewart
R. Allen
Substitutes
S. Whitcomb
L. Held
V. Ayayi
M. Suarez
M. Fauthoux
R. Gardner
M. Johannes
Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty Key Points
- Liberty's last six matches have seen over 175.5 points netted
- Four of Mercury's last six has seen over 175.5 points netted
- Liberty have scored over 90 points in five of their last six games
- Mercury have conceded at least 86 points in five of their last six WNBA games
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Our Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction
The Moneyline odds suggest that the Liberty are clear favorites to win. While we find it difficult to disagree, Phoenix Mercury's recent resurgence has made us think twice about a straight win bet. In addition, the odds on the Liberty win don't offer us a great deal of value. Whatever the result, we're predicting a high number of points to be scored. True, recent games between the two sides haven't yielded a huge amount of points but we're expecting this to change here.
Our prediction for Mercury vs Liberty is: Over 175.5 Points
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
