Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
6/27/25 22:00
New York Liberty

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury to cover +3.5 spread.

-160
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Stephen Abiola | in WNBA Picks

Phoenix Mercury (11-4) will look to continue their red-hot streak when they host New York Liberty (10-2) on Friday night at Footprint Center. The Mercury has been one of the strongest teams in the league this season, thanks to the acquisition of star names like Alyssa Thomas and Satou Sabally. They are second in the Western Conference, just 2.0 games behind Minnesota, and third in the WNBA standings. Phoenix Mercury is undoubtedly a threat to anyone, especially at home.

New York Liberty, on the other hand, is firmly on course to defend the WNBA title. The 2024 champions will come into this matchup looking to avenge their 8-point loss to the Mercury at home last Friday. They can bounce back when they start their four-game road trek with a matchup against the Storm on Sunday before facing the Valkyries, the Mercury, and the Dream. Coming out of this schedule unscathed could make them untouchable this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
4 New York Liberty
0.614 44 27 17 3
4 Phoenix Mercury
0.614 44 27 17

Phoenix Mercury and New York Liberty Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  107
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
70 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  80
Dallas Wings

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
77 :  89
Seattle Storm
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  80
Dallas Wings

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
77 :  89
Seattle Storm

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
71 :  74
Minnesota Lynx

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
94 :  89
Chicago Sky

May 25, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
68 :  62
Washington Mystics
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  107
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
70 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
88 :  65
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
80 :  85
Phoenix Mercury
New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 25, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
78 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
89 :  79
New York Liberty

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
86 :  81
Atlanta Dream

Jun 14, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
102 :  88
New York Liberty

Jun 10, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  66
Chicago Sky
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
86 :  81
Atlanta Dream

Jun 10, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  66
Chicago Sky

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
100 :  52
Connecticut Sun

May 29, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
82 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
95 :  67
Golden State Valkyries
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 25, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
78 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
89 :  79
New York Liberty

Jun 14, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
102 :  88
New York Liberty

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
78 :  86
New York Liberty

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
63 :  85
New York Liberty

May 24, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
88 :  90
New York Liberty

Phoenix Mercury against New York Liberty : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

40 %

New York Liberty

60 %

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 26, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
70 :  84
New York Liberty

Jun 18, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
99 :  93
New York Liberty

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 5, 2023 - WNBA

New York Liberty
99 :  95
Phoenix Mercury

Players list

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

M. Akoa-Makani

S. Sabally

K. Copper

K. Westbeld

A. Thomas

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
N. Sabally

R. Gardner

N. Cloud

S. Ionescu

B. Stewart

Substitutes

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack K. Brown

K. Williams

L. Held

S. Whitcomb

K. Laksa

M. Musa

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
K. Burke J. Jones

M. Johannes

J. Sherrod

M. Davis

I. Harrison

Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty Key Points

  1. The total points went over in six of the last seven Phoenix games.
  2. Phoenix Mercury won against the spread in four of the last five matches.
  3. The total points went over in four of the last five New York games.
  4. New York Liberty lost against the spread in four of the last five matches.

Our Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction

We expect a close matchup between these highly efficient sides. The Mercury are exceptional at home, winning six of their eight assignments. They are also riding on a five-game winning streak and have a week of rest before facing the defending champions. The Liberty, meanwhile, will carry the league's best attack into this game, averaging 89.1 PPG this season. They are also the better side in defense, averaging 76.3 PAPG, which is second in the league. 

Our prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty: Phoenix Mercury to cover +3.5 spread.

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury to cover +3.5 spread.

-160
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Picks