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by Lou Aguila in NFL Picks
On Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, the New York Jets (3-0) and the Miami Dolphins (3-0) will face off in a battle of two winless teams.
The Dolphins are a hot pick for this game, receiving 62 percent of moneyline bets across all major sportsbooks in the United States.
However, it’s worth noting that the Jets blew out the Dolphins 32-20 last year, so an upset remains possible.
New York is listed as a +130 road underdog, which offers a potential payout of $230 for every $100 bet.
Current Form:
The Jets are 3-0 after three games, bowing to the Pittsburgh Pirates 34-32, the Buffalo Bills 30-10, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29-28.
Statistically, the Jets are mediocre. They have the second-worst passing yards per game (144.7 yards) and rank 16th in points per game (23.0 points). They have also posted the fourth-highest points allowed per game this season (31.0 points). So far, the only bright spot for the Jets is their rushing squad, which covers an average of 127 yards per game this season (9th in the NFL).
The Dolphins have lost their first three games this season, making them one of the six winless teams three weeks into the 2025 NFL season. Miami lost to the Indianapolis Colts 33-8 in week 1, the New England Patriots 33-27 in week 2, and the Buffalo Bills 31-21 in week 2.
Miami ranks 21st in the NFL in passing yards per game (192.0), 26th in rushing yards per game (89.7), and 25th in points per game (18.7). However, the Dolphins' defense isn’t looking good right now, averaging 32.3 points allowed per game through the first three games.
Players to Watch:
Jets: Quarterback Tyrod Taylor (253 yards with three TDs), running back Breece Hall (157 yards on 38 carries), and wide receiver Garrett Wilson (229 yards on 21 receptions with two TDs).
Dolphins: Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (575 yards with 5 TDs and four interceptions), running back De’Von Achane (147 yards on 30 carries), and wide receiver Tyreek Hill (198 yards on 15 receptions with one TD).
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New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
29
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
|
30
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
New York Jets and Miami Dolphins Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 21, 2025 - NFL
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1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
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1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
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2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 18, 2025 - NFL
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4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
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Oct 27, 2024 - NFL
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 18, 2025 - NFL
Sep 7, 2025 - NFL
Jan 5, 2025 - NFL
Dec 29, 2024 - NFL
Dec 15, 2024 - NFL
Nov 28, 2024 - NFL
New York Jets against Miami Dolphins : Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
0 %
80 %
Jan 5, 2025 - NFL
Dec 8, 2024 - NFL
Nov 24, 2023 - NFL
Nov 21, 2021 - NFL
Oct 18, 2020 - NFL
New York Jets - Miami Dolphins Key Points
- Miami is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
- Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
- NY Jets is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games against Miami.
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Our New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Prediction
Miami has gone 9-0 in its last nine games against the Jets at home. If you think this is enough to go with the Dolphins, you'd better think again because New York has a 44.3 percent chance of winning this game, according to ESPN Match Predictor.
The Jets are expected to regain the service of starting quarterback Justin Fields, who missed the week 3 game against the Buffalo Buccaneers because of the concussion he suffered in the fourth quarter of a 10-30 loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 2. Fields, who covered 218 yards on 16 of 22 passing with one touchdown in a close 32-34 loss to the Pirates, can inflict a lot of damage to the Dolphins, especially if he is left unchecked by Miami’s defense, which surrenders 32.5 points per game and 225.3 passing yards per game. Moreover, the Jets could also test Miami’s weak defense against the rush, which is allowing 145 yards per game this season. Remember, New York has the 9th-best mark in rushing yards per game at 127 yards per game. With Breece Hall off to a strong start and quarterback Tyrod Taylor and Justin Fields both capable rushers, the Jets have the materials to cover a lot of ground with their feet.
Fearless Forecast: the Jets 26, the Dolphis 24
Our betting prediction for the New York Jets vs. the Miami Dolphins: the Jets will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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