New York City vs New York Red Bulls Prediction & Picks - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer

New York City
5/17/25 16:30
New York Red Bulls

Prediction:

 

New York City wins the match

+105
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 by Tyler Doty | in Major League Soccer Picks

New York City hosts New York Red Bulls and hopes the Hudson River Derby is what they need to get back on track. The Citizens have traditionally played well in this rivalry matchup, and they've won two of their past three meetings with their neighbors.

City's problem is that it just isn't scoring goals right now. In its past eight matches, City has recorded one goal or less every time it has taken the pitch. It's managed to win three of those matches, which speaks to how good the City defense has been during this stretch. But at some point, you have to score, or you're just going to be putting up a lot of scoreless draws and 1-0 losses. And that has been City's fate as of late, as it has just one point in three matches.

New York City vs New York Red Bulls Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
New York City
New York City
31 20 9 4 7 5
8
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
29 20 8 5 7 8

New York City and New York Red Bulls Latest Matches

New York City
New York City Latest matches
L W W L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer

DC United
0 :  0
New York City

May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  1
CF Montreal

May 7, 2025 - US Open Cup

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 :  0
New York City

May 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  0
FC Cincinnati

Apr 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
0 :  1
New York City

Apr 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New England Revolution
2 :  0
New York City
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  1
CF Montreal

May 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  0
FC Cincinnati

Apr 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  0
Philadelphia Union

Apr 6, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  2
Minnesota United

Mar 15, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
2 :  1
New England Revolution

Mar 8, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
2 :  1
Orlando City SC
D L L W L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer

DC United
0 :  0
New York City

May 7, 2025 - US Open Cup

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 :  0
New York City

Apr 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
0 :  1
New York City

Apr 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New England Revolution
2 :  0
New York City

Mar 29, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Atlanta United Fc
4 :  3
New York City

Mar 22, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew
0 :  0
New York City
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls Latest matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Nashville SC
2 :  1
New York Red Bulls

May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
7 :  0
Los Angeles Galaxy

May 6, 2025 - US Open Cup

Colorado Springs Switchbacks
1 :  4
New York Red Bulls

May 3, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Inter Miami CF
4 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Apr 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  0
CF Montreal

Apr 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  2
DC United
D W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
7 :  0
Los Angeles Galaxy

Apr 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  0
CF Montreal

Apr 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  2
DC United

Apr 5, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
2 :  1
Chicago Fire

Mar 22, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
2 :  1
Toronto FC

Mar 15, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
2 :  2
Orlando City SC
D L D L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Nashville SC
2 :  1
New York Red Bulls

May 6, 2025 - US Open Cup

Colorado Springs Switchbacks
1 :  4
New York Red Bulls

May 3, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Inter Miami CF
4 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Apr 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC
0 :  0
New York Red Bulls

Mar 29, 2025 - Major League Soccer

New England Revolution
2 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Mar 8, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Atlanta United Fc
0 :  0
New York Red Bulls

New York City against New York Red Bulls : Head to Head (H2H)

New York City

33 %

Draw

17 %

New York Red Bulls

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

Nov 23, 2024 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  2
New York Red Bulls

Sep 28, 2024 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  5
New York City

May 18, 2024 - Major League Soccer

New York City
2 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Sep 16, 2023 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  0
New York Red Bulls

Aug 3, 2023 - Leagues Cup

New York Red Bulls
1 :  0
New York City

May 13, 2023 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  0
New York City

New York City against New York Red Bulls Lineups: Starting 11

New York City

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

49
M. Freese
24
T. Gray
80
J. Haak
13
T. Martins
5
B. Risa
21
A. O'Neill
8
A. Perea
10
M. Moralez
11
J. Fernandez
16
A. Martinez
17
H. Wolf
13
E. Choupo-Moting
37
M. Sofo
10
E. Forsberg
22
D. Gjengaar
8
P. Stroud
20
F. Carballo
44
R. Edwards
3
N. Eile
15
S. Nealis
6
K. Duncan
31
C. Coronel

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

New York Red Bulls

Missing players

New York City
New York City
Midfielder

K. Parks

Forward

M. Jones

K. O'Toole

New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
Defender

M. Morales

D. Nealis

Midfielder

L. Morgan

Forward

S. Ngoma

R. Mitchell

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato New York City
CD Huachipato New York Red Bulls
Top Goalscorer
Austria H. Wolf (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Cameroon E. Choupo-Moting (11 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina J. Fernandez (3 Assists)
Austria H. Wolf (3 Assists)
USA J. Haak (3 Assists)
Best assists
Panama O. Valencia (5 Assists)

New York City - New York Red Bulls Key Points

  1. NYCFC has won 4 of its last 6 MLS games.
  2. NYCFC has won 2 of its last 3 meetings with the Red Bulls.
  3. The Red Bulls have failed to win four straight road MLS matches.
  4. The Red Bulls have taken just 2 points from 6 MLS outings.
  5. The Red Bulls are coming off a 2-1 defeat at Nashville SC.
  6. NYCFC’s past three home matches have finished 1-0.

Our New York City vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

This really is a battle of two sides that are completely inconsistent. The Red Bulls tend to be home warriors, but have been practically helpless when they leave Red Bull Arena. A great example comes in their past two MLS matches: they smashed Los Angeles Galaxy 7-0 at home, then went to Nashville and got picked off in a 2-1 defeat.

That's been the story of their entire campaign to this point: the Red Bulls have won four in a row in New Jersey, but have just one point in their past four MLS matches outside the Garden State. Crossing the Hudson shouldn't be a big deal (unless you count the traffic), but it makes a big difference where both sides are concerned. If you're looking for a big payoff, there appears to be a lot of value on a correct score play of 1-0 to NYCFC at +600. But with the hosts getting more money to win, that's the play that makes sense.

Our NYCFC vs New York Red Bulls prediction: victory for NYCFC!

Prediction:

 

New York City wins the match

+105
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