USA - Major League Soccer
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by Carlos Zabala | in Major League Soccer Picks
After 17 MLS games this season, New York City sits 10th out of 15 in the Eastern Conference, level on points with the ninth-place Chicago Fire, who hold the final play-in spot. The Pigeons will be at Yankee Stadium on Thursday to face Atlanta United for the second time in 2025, after Atlanta United won 4-3 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in a match where four different players scored for Atlanta and Hannes Wolf scored twice for New York City.
In the betting world, Atlanta started as the favorite at -149 odds to win at home against New York City in March, but for next Thursday's match, New York will have an implied probability of over 50%. In the Atlanta UTD-New York City match, the only thing that has remained a constant is the matches in which both teams score goals. In fact, since 2022, there have been 7 matches between these teams, and there has been at least one goal from each team on all 7 occasions.
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New York City vs Atlanta United Fc Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
28 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
|
13
|
17 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -13 |
New York City and Atlanta United Fc Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 7, 2025 - US Open Cup
Apr 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Mar 29, 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 28, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 25, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 3, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2025 - Major League Soccer
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 31, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 14, 2025 - Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 - Major League Soccer
New York City against Atlanta United Fc : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Mar 29, 2025 - Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2024 - Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2024 - Major League Soccer
Jun 21, 2023 - Major League Soccer
Apr 8, 2023 - Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 - Major League Soccer
New York City - Atlanta United Fc: Form Analysis
Throughout 2025, New York City won two consecutive matches multiple times but failed to win the third. This happened when they defeated the New York Red Bulls in the New York derby in mid-May, and again at Yankee Stadium, they beat the Chicago Fire 3-1, with whom they are now tied on points. They then fell 3-0 to the Houston Dynamo thanks to an own goal by Haak and closed out May with a 2-2 draw against Nashville SC.
Jansen's team has a problem, frequently conceding the first goal of the match. This happened in more than half of their MLS matches in 2025. This problem was even more pronounced against Nashville in their last match, when they conceded a goal in the 27th minute and were down 2-0 by the 41st. Austrian striker Wolf emerged as a hero in the second half, scoring two goals to tie the match.
Atlanta Utd also had their two-game winning streak at Mercedes-Benz Stadium snapped when they lost in New York to the Red Bulls. Atlanta Utd have scored 21 goals this season, but none of them were on the road in the first half of any match.
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New York City against Atlanta United Fc Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
J. Arroyave
K. Parks
ForwardM. Jones
J. Cohen
DefenderS. Gregersen
ForwardT. Muyumba
E. Mosquera
C. Togashi
New York City & Atlanta United Fc Squad Analysis
Without a doubt, Austrian New York City striker Hannes Wolf, 26, is the man Atlanta Utd's defenders will need to target heavily on their visit to Yankee Stadium. Wolf has been involved in all of his team's attacking buildup recently. He had a lackluster game against the Houston Dynamo, but against the Chicago Fire he scored a goal and assisted, and then against Nashville he netted two more goals, making it the second time he's scored a pair this season. Norwegian full-back Birk Risa has also had solid performances, averaging a 7.0 performance rating for NY in his last four MLS games.
Meanwhile, Atlanta United will be without a key player: Almirón, the Paraguayan forward who is playing with his national team in South American World Cup qualifying and faces a long trip back to the United States. They will also be without Trinidad and Tobago forward Fortune for the same reason, and Josh Cohen missed his last game against the Red Bulls due to a groin strain.
Most goals and assists
New York City
Atlanta United Fc
A. Martinez
(8 Goals)
, 
H. Wolf
(8 Goals)
E. Latte Lath
(5 Goals)
J. Fernandez
(3 Assists)
, 
J. Haak
(3 Assists)
S. Lobzhanidze
(5 Assists)
New York City - Atlanta United Fc Key Points
- Atlanta United hasn't beaten New York City at Yankee Stadium since 2018.
- New York City's last three matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Alonso Martínez leads New York City with 8 goals in MLS this season.
- The draw ended 1-1 the last time Atlanta and New York met at Citi Field in 2024 in MLS.
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Our New York City vs Atlanta United Fc Prediction
New York City's call-ups also affect the team. Alonso Martínez scored 8 goals for the New York City team but is now doing the same for Costa Rica and will not be available for Thursday's game. While Atlanta United struggles to score early goals on the road, New York City is without its leading scorer, so there may be value in betting on low goals.
Our prediction for New York City vs. Atlanta Utd is: Under 2.5 goals.
New York City vs Atlanta United Fc - Other Interesting Picks
New York City to win
Atlanta Utd to Score No Goals
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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