Dayton vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball

USA - NCAA Basketball

Dayton
3/21/24 16:45
Nevada Wolf Pack

Prediction:

 

Over 136.5

-110
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 by Dan Angell in NCAA Basketball Picks

The Nevada Wolf Pack (26-7 SU, 21-11 ATS) square off against the Dayton Flyers (24-7 SU, 16-15 ATS) in the NCAA tournament's first round in Salt Lake City. This game matches two of the best 3-point shooting teams in the nation, as both shoot better than 39% from the perimeter. Nevada also gets quality scoring inside the arc from Kenan Blackshear and Nick Davidson, both of whom mostly shoot from inside or the mid-range.

Dayton's biggest weaknesses are its midrange defense and its interior defense, which seems to play right into Nevada's hands. However, the Flyers also shoot the ball very well and get to the free throw line regularly, which suggest that both teams should put up points in a tight matchup.

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Dayton - Nevada Wolf Pack Key Points

  1. Nevada coach Steve Alford is 5-1 SU in his past six NCAA tournament first round games.
  2. The over is 6-0 in Nevada’s past six games.
  3. Dayton is 2-5 ATS in its past seven games.
  4. The over is 6-1 in Dayton’s past seven games.
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Our Dayton vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction

Both teams lost their first game at their conference tournaments, but Nevada had won seven straight games prior to losing to Colorado State in the Mountain West tournament. The Wolf Pack also faced a tougher schedule over the past two months, as the Mountain West produced six tournament teams compared to the Atlantic 10's two.

Dayton didn't close out the year very well, losing to George Mason and Loyola-Chicago over its final five games. Even in the games the Flyers won, the defense wasn't up to scratch. In Dayton's past two wins, VCU scored 86 and Saint Louis scored 83. Only once in the Flyers' final six regular season games did they keep their opponent below 70 points. Given that and both teams' shooting ability, we're expecting lots of points. Our prediction for Nevada vs. Dayton: is Over 136.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Over 136.5

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Dayton vs Nevada Wolf Pack Picks