Club Necaxa vs Chivas Prediction & Picks - Liga MX
Mexico - Liga MX
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by Erik Gibbs | in Liga MX Picks
Club Necaxa and Chivas are set to square off at the Estadio Victoria this Wednesday in a matchup that carries significant implications for the final seeding of the Clausura 2026 tournament. Necaxa currently occupies 11th place in the standings with 17 points, clinging to the hope of a play-in berth. Their form has been a story of two different teams; they are remarkably resilient in Aguascalientes but vulnerable on the road. Most recently, they secured a hard-fought 1-1 draw against Tigres, a result that followed a confidence-boosting 3-0 shutout of Tijuana and a narrow 2-1 win over Mazatlán. Despite a disappointing 3-1 loss to Querétaro that exposed some defensive lapses, the Rayos have proven they can be a frustrating obstacle for high-flying opponents when they are allowed to sit deep and counter-attack.
Guadalajara, meanwhile, occupies the summit of Liga MX and enters this midweek fixture as the league’s form team. With 11 wins from 15 matches, they have accumulated 34 points and look like the most complete squad in the division. Their offensive output has been staggering, highlighted by a dominant 5-0 victory over Puebla that showcased their ability to dismantle teams in the final third. While they did experience a slight setback in a 4-1 defeat to Tigres earlier this month, the Guadalajara side quickly rebounded to reassert their dominance. They have been incredibly efficient away from home, winning five of their eight road trips and averaging over two goals per game, making them the most feared attacking force in the country right now.
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Club Necaxa vs Chivas Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
36 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +16 |
|
15
|
18 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -6 |
Club Necaxa and Chivas Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 20, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 13, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 6, 2026 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 20, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 6, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 6, 2026 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 13, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 31, 2026 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 5, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Mar 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 18, 2026 - Liga MX
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 5, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 11, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Mar 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX
Club Necaxa against Chivas : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX
Jul 5, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jan 17, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 22, 2024 - Liga MX
Feb 20, 2024 - Liga MX
Jul 13, 2023 - Liga MX
Club Necaxa against Chivas Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
L. Jimenez
DefenderE. Lara
R. Alonso
F. Mendez Lara
F. Rossano
A. Almendra
K. Rosero
R. Cortez
I. Tello
B. Casas
R. Rangel
DefenderG. Sepulveda
M. Gomez
MidfielderY. Padilla
M. Tapias
H. Camberos
S. Sandoval
R. Alvarado
J. Perez
S. Aguayo
Missing players
Leonardo Sepúlveda
Most goals and assists
Club Necaxa
Chivas
T. Badaloni
(5 Goals)
,
J. Ruiz
(5 Goals)
A. Gonzalez
(12 Goals)
F. Rossano
(3 Assists)
, 
D. Leyva
(3 Assists)
E. Alvarez
(4 Assists)
Club Necaxa - Chivas Key Points
- The Over is 3-2 in Club Necaxa's last 5 games
- The Over is 5-0 in Chivas' last 5 games
- Club Necaxa are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- Chivas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Club Necaxa vs Chivas Prediction
Armando Gonzalez has been the standout performer for Chivas, having already tallied 12 goals in the current campaign. His presence in the box is the primary focal point of the attack, though the squad is managing several injury concerns. Alan Mozo is currently unavailable due to a broken leg, and the midfield will likely be without Luis Romo, who is recovering from a hamstring strain. Additionally, Richard Ledezma and Omar Govea are listed as doubtful, which may force Gabriel Milito to rotate his squad. Necaxa counters with the playmaking of Leyva, who has created 26 chances this season and remains their most consistent threat. However, they are missing Julian Carranza through a long-term leg injury, and the absence of Alexis Peña in the heart of the defense has been noticeable.
Looking at the matchup, Chivas holds the definitive upper hand to secure all three points. Their superior tactical flexibility and the elite finishing of Gonzalez provide them with multiple paths to victory that Necaxa simply struggles to match. While the hosts will look to maintain a compact defensive shape and exploit set-piece opportunities, the sheer volume of chances created by the Guadalajara midfield usually overwhelms teams of this caliber. Even with a few key players in the treatment room, the visitors possess enough depth to navigate this challenge and solidify their position at the top of the table. Our prediction for Club Necaxa vs. Chivas: Over 2.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
