Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Napoli
10/1/25 15:00
Sporting Lisbon

Prediction:

 

Draw or Sporting Lisbon

-110
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Champions League Picks

A fascinating match will take place at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium when Italian champions Napoli face Portuguese champions Sporting Lisbon on Matchday 2 of the Champions League.

The Lions, the team from the Portuguese capital, beat Estoril on Matchday 7 of the Portuguese League this weekend, marking another satisfactory start to the season. They are second in the Portuguese league with 19 goals in seven matches. In their first Champions League match, they also thrashed Kairat Almaty with two goals from Trincao.

Sporting Lisbon, who finished 23rd out of 36 in the previous Champions League round of 2024/2025, have one of the toughest schedules for this new Champions League season, which will see them face Marseille, Juventus, Bayern Munich, PSG, and Athletic Club. Therefore, it is doubly crucial for Sporting to get three points on their visit to the Serie A club.

However, bookmakers and many bettors are leaning more towards Napoli; the bookmakers give the reigning champions an implied probability of over 50% of beating the Portuguese side, especially considering that Sporting Lisbon has never in its history, in 17 matches against Serie A clubs in European competitions, managed to secure even one victory.

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Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
7 4 2 1 1 3
24
Napoli
Napoli
4 4 1 1 2 -5

Napoli and Sporting Lisbon Latest Matches

Napoli
Napoli Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

Sep 22, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  2
Pisa SC

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

Sep 13, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

Aug 30, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Cagliari

Aug 23, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  2
Napoli
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 22, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  2
Pisa SC

Aug 30, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Cagliari

Aug 14, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
2 :  1
Olympiacos

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
4 :  0
ASD Sorrento 1945

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
3 :  2
Girona

Aug 4, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
1 :  1
Casertana
W D W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

Sep 13, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

Aug 23, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  2
Napoli

May 18, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Napoli

May 3, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Sep 22, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Moreirense

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Kairat Almaty

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

Aug 30, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 22, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Moreirense

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Kairat Almaty

Aug 30, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto

Aug 17, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
Arouca

Jul 31, 2025 - Portugal Super Cup

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Jul 25, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  0
Villarreal
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

Aug 8, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

May 25, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

May 10, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon
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Napoli against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11

Napoli

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

32
V. Milinkovic-Savic
37
L. Spinazzola
31
S. Beukema
5
J. Jesus
3
M. Gutierrez
68
S. Lobotka
21
M. Politano
99
F. Anguissa
11
K. De Bruyne
8
S. Mctominay
19
R. Hojlund
89
F. Ioannidis
10
G. Catamo
17
F. Trincao
7
G. Quenda
52
J. Simoes
42
M. Hjulmand
20
M. Araujo
25
Goncalo Inacio
72
Quaresma
22
I. Fresneda
1
R. Silva

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Sporting Lisbon

Missing players

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

N. Contini

Defender

G. Di Lorenzo

A. Buongiorno

A. Rrahmani

Forward

R. Lukaku

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Napoli
CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
Top Goalscorer
Denmark R. Hojlund (4 Goals)
Cameroon F. Anguissa (4 Goals)
Scotland S. Mctominay (4 Goals)
Belgium K. De Bruyne (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal P. Goncalves (8 Goals) Colombia L. Suarez (8 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil D. Neres (3 Assists)
Italy L. Spinazzola (3 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal G. Quenda (5 Assists)

Napoli - Sporting Lisbon Key Points

  1. Napoli generated an xG of 2.96 in the match against AC Milan
  2. Napoli had seven corners in the last Serie A match
  3. In their last four matches, Sporting Lisbon has not conceded more than one goal
  4. Sporting Lisbon won the last Portuguese league with 82 points; Napoli won the previous Serie A with 82 points.
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Our Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction

The Neapolitan side, led by manager Antonio Conte, had an unsatisfactory start to the Champions League. On their trip to the Etihad to face Manchester City, they lost when Di Lorenzo got himself sent off, leaving his team at a disadvantage that the City took advantage of by scoring two goals in the second half.

So far, Napoli have only played two home games this season, two wins: a 1-0 victory against Cagliari and a 3-2 victory against Pisa, with goals from Glimour, Spinazzola, and Lucca.

Worse still, Conte, in addition to being without Di Lorenzo due to his red card for the match against the Portuguese club, is also still without Lukaku, and Spinazzola is another possible sideline due to a muscle problem. If this last issue is confirmed, the Lisbon Lions could well present a tight game, with a top-flight striker who has scored seven goals in his last five matches.

Our prediction for Sporting Lisbon vs Napoli is: Sporting Lisbon to win or draw.

Prediction:

 

Draw or Sporting Lisbon

-110
$200+ offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon Picks