Napoli vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Napoli
1/28/26 15:00
Chelsea

Prediction:

 

Scott McTominay 1+ Shots on Target

-155
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Champions League Picks

On Wednesday, the UEFA Champions League reaches boiling point, or at least the League Phase of the competition does. One of Wednesday's fixtures sees Napoli and Chelsea go head-to-head at the legendary Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. In front of an expectant home crowd, the hosts will be hoping to force their way into the all-important top 24 and ensure that they're playing in Europe's premier club tournament after this game. However, to do that, they'll almost certainly need a positive result against a Chelsea team that is fighting for a top-eight spot. 

The visitors, now coached by Liam Rosenior, are in a much more favorable position than their hosts, who are in serious danger of missing out on the knockouts. The Blues will, at the very least, feature in the knockout playoffs, and if they can win this game, they'll definitely go straight through to the Round of 16 as a top-eight finisher. 

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Napoli vs Chelsea Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Chelsea
16 8 5 1 2 +7
30 Napoli
8 8 2 2 4 -6

Napoli and Chelsea Latest Matches

Napoli
Napoli Latest matches
D D D W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
3 :  0
Napoli

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
1 :  1
Napoli

Jan 17, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Sassuolo

Jan 14, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Parma

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Napoli

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Hellas Verona
W W W D D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Sassuolo

Jan 14, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Parma

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Hellas Verona

Dec 22, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
Bologna

Dec 18, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
AC Milan

Dec 7, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Juventus
L W W D D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
3 :  0
Napoli

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
1 :  1
Napoli

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Napoli

Jan 4, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Napoli

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  2
Napoli

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Napoli
Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  3
Chelsea

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Pafos FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Brentford

Jan 14, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Charlton Athletic
1 :  5
Chelsea

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  1
Chelsea
W L D L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Pafos FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Brentford

Jan 14, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Everton
W D D L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  3
Chelsea

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Charlton Athletic
1 :  5
Chelsea

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  1
Chelsea

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Chelsea

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Chelsea

Dec 16, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
1 :  3
Chelsea
Napoli vs Chelsea Picks

Napoli against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11

Napoli

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
A. Meret
22
G. Di Lorenzo
4
A. Buongiorno
5
J. Jesus
37
L. Spinazzola
68
S. Lobotka
8
S. Mctominay
17
M. Olivera
26
A. Vergara
20
E. Elmas
19
R. Hojlund
20
Joao Pedro
7
P. Neto
8
E. Fernandez
41
Estevao
17
A. Santos
25
M. Caicedo
3
M. Cucurella
29
W. Fofana
24
R. James
27
M. Gusto
1
R. Sanchez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Substitutes

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

D. Antonio Spinelli

N. Contini

Defender

M. Gutierrez

J. Jesus 67'

C. Garofalo

S. Beukema

L. Spinazzola 82'

Midfielder

E. De Chiara

Forward

R. Lukaku

E. Elmas 82'

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

F. Jorgensen

M. Merrick

Defender

J. Hato

J. Acheampong

B. Badiashile

J. Gittens 90'

T. Chalobah

M. Gusto 59'

Midfielder

C. Palmer

P. Neto 46'

T. George

Forward

L. Delap

A. Garnacho

Estevao 74'

J. Gittens

A. Santos 59'

M. Guiu

Missing players

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

V. Milinkovic-Savic

Defender

A. Rrahmani

Midfielder

K. De Bruyne

F. Anguissa

B. Gilmour

Forward

M. Politano

D. Neres

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

T. Adarabioyo

L. Colwill

Midfielder

R. Lavia

Forward

M. Mudryk

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Napoli
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Scotland S. McTominay (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina E. Fernandez (3 Goals) ,  Brazil Estevao (3 Goals) ,  Brazil Joao Pedro (3 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium K. De Bruyne (2 Assists) , 
Uruguay M. Olivera (2 Assists)
Best assists
England R. James (2 Assists) , 
Argentina E. Fernandez (2 Assists) , 
England C. Palmer (2 Assists)

Napoli - Chelsea Key Points

  1. When Napoli last played at home in the UCL, Scott McTominay registered two shots on target.
  2. Scott McTominay has taken more UCL shots than any other Napoli player this season.
  3. Scott McTominay has registered four shots on target in his last three UCL appearances.
  4. Scott McTominay has also taken eight shots in three UCL home appearances this season.
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Our Napoli vs Chelsea Prediction

Let's be honest, for the hugely in-form and now prolific Scott McTominay to register a shot on target at home, even odds of -155 look generous. Since joining Napoli, Scott McTominay has been transformed into a fantastic offensive midfielder, so much so that he's one of Napoli's chief goal threats. No home-team player has scored more UCL goals than McTominay this season, and with his team needing a positive result here, the Scotsman is expected to go for goal. 

Averaging 2.37 shots per 90 minutes in the UCL this season, McTominay has registered four shots on target in his last three Champions League appearances, firing off two shots on target when his team last played at home in this competition. 

Our Napoli vs Chelsea Pick: Scott McTominay 1+ Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Scott McTominay 1+ Shots on Target

-155
$250 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.