Italy - Serie A
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by Erik Gibbs in Serie A Picks
Napoli will host Cagliari at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona this Friday in what will be the final Serie A fixture of the season. With Napoli sitting at the summit of the league on 79 points and Cagliari down in 14th place with 36, the two sides enter this match with vastly different narratives and stakes surrounding their campaigns.
For Napoli, this match represents more than just a season finale—it’s a potential crowning moment. While they’ve had opportunities to secure the Scudetto earlier, back-to-back draws in their last two matches have allowed the title race to remain open longer than anticipated.
Despite that stumble, Napoli’s impressive 62% win rate over the course of the Serie A season is a testament to their strength and consistency. However, they’ll enter Friday’s fixture with three key players potentially sidelined due to injury, which could pose a tactical challenge for coach Francesco Calzona.
Cagliari, in contrast, are approaching the game with far less pressure. Their recent 3-0 victory over Venezia provided a morale boost after consecutive losses, and while their Serie A status is secure, they cannot move up from their current 14th-place standing regardless of the result.
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Napoli vs Cagliari Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
79 | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 30 |
|
14
|
36 | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | -14 |
Napoli and Cagliari Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 18, 2025 - Serie A
May 11, 2025 - Serie A
May 3, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 19, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 14, 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 11, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 14, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 1, 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 18, 2025 - Serie A
May 3, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 19, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 7, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 23, 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 18, 2025 - Serie A
May 10, 2025 - Serie A
May 3, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 28, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 23, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 12, 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 18, 2025 - Serie A
May 3, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 23, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 7, 2025 - Serie A
Feb 23, 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 10, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 28, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 12, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 6, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A
Mar 2, 2025 - Serie A
Napoli against Cagliari : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 15, 2024 - Serie A
Feb 25, 2024 - Serie A
Dec 16, 2023 - Serie A
Feb 21, 2022 - Serie A
Sep 26, 2021 - Serie A
May 2, 2021 - Serie A
Cagliari v Napoli last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
J. Jesus
A. Buongiorno
MidfielderS. Lobotka
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Cagliari
R. Lukaku
(13 Goals)
R. Piccoli
(10 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(10 Assists)
T. Augello
(6 Assists)
Napoli and Cagliari Stats in Serie A
Napoli - Cagliari Key Points
- Napoli have won 20 out of 37 H2H games vs Cagliari
- Napoli haven't lost in 26 of their last 30 Serie A home games
- Cagliari have won 5 of their last 37 Serie A away games
- Napoli are 11-0 in their last 11 Serie A games
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Our Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction
Zito Luvumbo will miss the match due to a muscle issue, but otherwise, Cagliari's squad remains largely intact. Their season has been marked by inconsistency—capable of dominating weaker opponents like Verona and Venezia, but vulnerable against more organized and pressing sides like Udinese and Como.
Historically, Napoli has had the upper hand in this fixture. Earlier this season, they dismantled Cagliari 4-0 away from home, a performance that underlined the gulf in class between the two squads. With their structured midfield and disciplined backline, Napoli are expected to control possession and apply early pressure to break Cagliari’s rhythm. The Sardinian club may attempt to hit on the counter, relying on pace and direct play, but will need to overcome their tendency to collapse under sustained attacking waves.
A win on Friday could not only confirm Napoli's championship status but also trigger a massive celebration in Naples—a city where football transcends sport and becomes part of the cultural fabric. While Cagliari might aim to spoil the party, the momentum, quality, and motivation all seem to favor the home side. If Napoli manage to maintain their composure and capitalize on Cagliari’s defensive lapses, fans at the Maradona could witness a historic moment to close out the Serie A season. Our prediction for Napoli vs. Cagliari: Napoli to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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