Naomi Osaka vs Leylah Annie Fernandez Prediction & Picks - WTA Wuhan Open

WTA - WTA Wuhan Open

WTA 14 Japan
Naomi Osaka
10/6/25 23:00
WTA 25 Canada
Leylah Annie Fernandez

Prediction:

 

Naomi Osaka will cover -3.5 Games

-118
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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

After suffering a shocking loss in Beijing, Naomi Osaka returns to action Tuesday, taking on Leylah Annie Fernandez in explosive first-round clash at the 2025 Wuhan Open.

Osaka is the favorite at -235 on FanDuel, but Fernandez might be an intriguing pick at +188 because of her 1-0 head-to-head series lead on the former world’s No.1.

Current Form:

Osaka will try to rebound from a shocking early-round exit at the China Open after bowing to world’s No.130 Aliaksandra Sasnovic of Belarus 6-1, 4-6, 2-6. Osaka, who reached the semifinal of the 2025 US Open, did not anticipate a furious fight back from Sasnovic, who elevated the level of her play in the second and third sets after absorbing a beat down from Osaka in the opening set. Regardless, Osaka still holds an impressive 21-8 record on the hard and 32-14 overall in 2025.

Fernandez eyes a deeper run in Wuhan after reaching the third round of the 2025 China Open. Fernandez clobbered Maria Sakkari 6-2, 6-0 in the second round before running out of steam against Coco Gauff in a three-set thriller in the third round 4-6, 6-4, 5-7. The Canadian is 19-13 on the hard court and a solid 4-5 against the WTA top-20.

Naomi Osaka vs Leylah Annie Fernandez Form

Naomi Osaka and Leylah Annie Fernandez Latest Matches

Naomi Osaka Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 27, 2025 - WTA China Open

Naomi Osaka
1 :  2
Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Sep 4, 2025 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
1 :  2
Amanda Anisimova

Sep 3, 2025 - WTA US Open

Karolina Muchova
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

Sep 1, 2025 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Coco Gauff

Aug 30, 2025 - WTA US Open

Daria Kasatkina
1 :  2
Naomi Osaka

Aug 28, 2025 - WTA US Open

Hailey Baptiste
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka
Leylah Annie Fernandez Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2025 - WTA China Open

Leylah Annie Fernandez
1 :  2
Coco Gauff

Sep 25, 2025 - WTA China Open

Leylah Annie Fernandez
2 :  0
Maria Sakkari

Aug 29, 2025 - WTA US Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Leylah Annie Fernandez

Aug 27, 2025 - WTA US Open

Elsa Jacquemot
1 :  2
Leylah Annie Fernandez

Aug 24, 2025 - WTA US Open

Rebecca Marino
0 :  2
Leylah Annie Fernandez

Aug 20, 2025 - WTA Monterrey Open

Rebecca Sramkova
2 :  1
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Compare Naomi Osaka and Leylah Annie Fernandez with our comparison tool.

Naomi Osaka - Leylah Annie Fernandez Key Points

  1. Naomi Osaka reached the semifinal of the 2025 US Open.
  2. Naomi Osaka lost to Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-1, 4-6, 2-6 in the second round of the 2025 China Open.
  3. Leylah Annie Fernandez reached the third round of the China Open.
  4. Leylah Annie Fernandez is 4-5 against the WTA top-20 this year.

Our Naomi Osaka vs Leylah Annie Fernandez Prediction

This will be the first meeting since their showdown in the third round of the 2021 US Open, where Leylah Fernandez pulled off a 5-7, 7-6, 6-4 stunner over Naomi Osaka. Fernandez would go on to reach the final of that US Open, where she eventually lost to Emma Raducanu. Osaka is enjoying a comeback year highlighted by her semifinal run at the US Open and a final appearance at the Canadian Open. The Japanese star is 21-8 on the hard court this season, making her loss to Sasnovich all the more shocking. Will Osaka bounce back from this setback?

Fearless Forecast: Naomi Osaka covers -3.5 games by beating Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4, 7-5. I consider Osaka’s loss to Sasnovich nothing but a fluke. She was caught off guard and unprepared after spending two weeks off the circuit. That will not happen against Fernandez, who she knows can really play at a high level when allowed to shine. Osaka will step up and beat Fernandez cleanly in this one.

Our betting prediction for Naomi Osaka vs. Leylah Annie Fernandez: Naomi Osaka -3.5 Games.

Prediction:

 

Naomi Osaka will cover -3.5 Games

-118
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Naomi Osaka vs Leylah Annie Fernandez Picks