Moyuka Uchijima vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Prediction & Picks - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

WTA 47 Japan
Moyuka Uchijima
4/29/25 10:30
WTA 20 Russia
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Prediction:

 

Ekaterina Alexandrova -4.5 Games

+105
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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Moyuka Uchijima of Japan looks to take her fairy tale run into the quarterfinal of the 2025 Mutua Madrid Open, as she takes on Ekaterina Alexandrova of Russia in the fourth round on Tuesday.

Hot off her first career WTA top-10 win over Jessica Pegula 6-3 6-2 in the third round, Uchijima has set her sights on a possible maiden quarterfinal appearance at WTA 1000 tournament. But accomplishing such feat means she needs to topple one of the most consistent players in this year’s clay-court season, Ekaterina Alexandrova.

Alexandrova improved her 2025 clay-court record to 8-2 after beating Daria Kasatkina of Australia 6-3 7-6(3) in the third round. Alexandrova came one win away from reaching the final of the last two tournaments she competed in, losing to Jessica Pegula 6-2 2-6 7-5 at the 2025 Charleston Open and Jelena Ostapenko 6-4 6-4 in Stuttgart. Pegula and Ostapenko would end up with the title at those tournaments.

Moyuka Uchijima vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Form

Moyuka Uchijima and Ekaterina Alexandrova Latest Matches

Moyuka Uchijima Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 27, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Jessica Pegula
0 :  2
Moyuka Uchijima

Apr 25, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Moyuka Uchijima
2 :  1
Ons Jabeur

Apr 23, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Moyuka Uchijima
2 :  1
Robin Montgomery

Apr 18, 2025 - WTA Rouen

Moyuka Uchijima
1 :  2
Olga Danilovic

Apr 17, 2025 - WTA Rouen

Moyuka Uchijima
2 :  1
Lois Boisson

Apr 16, 2025 - WTA Rouen

Moyuka Uchijima
2 :  1
Nuria Brancaccio
Ekaterina Alexandrova Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 27, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Daria Kasatkina

Apr 25, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Olga Danilovic

Apr 20, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
0 :  2
Jelena Ostapenko

Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

Apr 17, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Mirra Andreeva
0 :  2
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Apr 15, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Liudmila Samsonova
Compare Moyuka Uchijima and Ekaterina Alexandrova with our comparison tool.

Moyuka Uchijima - Ekaterina Alexandrova Key Points

  1. Moyuka Uchijima defeated Jessica Pegula 6-3, 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
  2. Moyuka Uchijima has a 70 percent win rate on clay.
  3. Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-3 7-6(3) in the third round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
  4. Ekaterina Alexandrova is 8-2 in the 2025 clay-court season.

Our Moyuka Uchijima vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Ekaterina Alexandrova ends Mayoka Uchijima’s Cinderella run with a straight-set win.

I am high on Ekaterina Alexandrova to sweep Moyoka Uchijima in their fourth-round match. Although this is the first time Alexandrova will be playing the Japanese, the consistency she has shown through the first three weeks of the clay-court season is enough reason to convince me she will walk away with a convincing win over Uchijima. Not to discredit Uchijima’s first win over a top-5 player, but Pegula’s play has been erratic since winning the Charleston Open title, putting her in a vulnerable spot when he played the Japanese. Meanwhile, Alexandrova had steamrolled everyone on her way until bowing to eventual champions in Charleston and Stuttgart. Our betting prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Moyoka Uchijima: Ekaterina Alexandrova will cover -4.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Ekaterina Alexandrova -4.5 Games

+105
$1500 offered for betting!

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Moyuka Uchijima vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Picks