Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Picks - ATP Lyon Open
ATP - ATP Lyon Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Tommy Paul will go for his third career win over Corentin Moutet in the quarterfinals of the ATP Lyon Open. Paul is an intriguing +100 pick to cover -4.5 games because of his head-to-head dominance over Moutet.
Current Form:
Tommy Paul hacked out a three-set win over Benjamin Bonzi, 6-4, 6-7, 6-3, to reach the quarterfinals in Lyon. Paul, who also reached the quarterfinals in Shanghai, is 4-1 in his last 5 matches.
After grinding out a three-set win over Ugo Humbert 6-2, 6-7, 7-6, Corentin Moutet dispatched fellow Frenchman Felix Balshaw 6-4, 6-4. Moutet reached the quarterfinals of his first tournament since the US Open. He skipped the Asian swing of the ATP Tour to rehabilitate a persistent left wrist injury.
The Matchup: Paul is 2-0 vs. Moutet in their head-to-head series.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Form
Corentin Moutet and Tommy Paul Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 21, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
Oct 20, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 3, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 28, 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Jun 30, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 21, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
Oct 16, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 14, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Corentin Moutet against Tommy Paul : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
Jul 31, 2024 - Olympic Tournament
Corentin Moutet - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Tommy Paul booked back-to-back quarterfinals in Shanghai and Lyon
- Tommy Paul is 4-1 in his last 5 matches.
- Corentin Moutet is coming off a wrist injury.
- Corentin Moutet is 0-6 vs. top-20 players in 2026.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Prediction
The Difference Maker: Aside from his head-to-head dominance against Moutet, Paul carries a 5-3 record in quarterfinal matches this year.
Paul has also won 75 percent of his first-serve points and conceded only 5 service breaks against Moutet in their two meetings.
What to Expect: Paul covers -4.5 games against Moutet. The American is expected to win many free points again after firing 18 aces at Bonzi in the second round. Moutet has already faced 13 break points in this tournament. He cannot afford to let Paul create too many break chances in this match because of his high break point conversion rate (43.2 percent) in hard-court matches.
Fearless Forecast: Tommy Paul wins 6-4, 6-3
Our betting prediction for Tommy Paul vs. Corentin Moutet: Tommy Paul -4.5 games
A Welcome Bonus for Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul!
Looking to place a bet on Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul? For this ATP Lyon Open match, DraftKings will treat you to an exclusive offer: $200 in bonus bets, no promo code needed! Take advantage while you still can!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
