Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelka Prediction & Picks - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP 32 France
Corentin Moutet
10/28/25 07:10
ATP 52 USA
Reilly Opelka

Prediction:

 

Reilly Opelka will win

+184
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 by Lou Aguila in Rolex Paris Masters Picks

Corentin Moutet of France will slug it out with Reilly Opelka of the United States in the first round of the 2025 Paris Masters on Tuesday.

Current Form:

Moutet is the favorite in this duel at +184 after winning six of his last eight matches. The Frenchman finished runner-up to Daniil Medvedev 5-7, 6-4, 3-6 in the final of the 2025 Almaty Open and then reached the quarterfinals at the 2025 Vienna Open after scoring wins over Damir Dzumhur 3-6, 0-6 and Medvedev in their rematch 7-6, 6-4. Moutet lost to Lorenzo Mussetti in the last eight 3-6, 4-6.

Opelka qualified for the main draw of the 2025 Paris Masters as a lucky loser. The American swept Mattia Bellucci 6-3, 6-4 in the first round of the qualification before giving Vukic a walkover win in the final qualifying match. Opelka is 7-4 in indoor matches in 2025.

Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelka Form

Corentin Moutet and Reilly Opelka Latest Matches

Corentin Moutet Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 24, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Oct 23, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Corentin Moutet

Oct 22, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Damir Dzumhur
0 :  2
Corentin Moutet

Oct 19, 2025 - Almaty Open

Corentin Moutet
1 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Oct 18, 2025 - Almaty Open

Corentin Moutet
2 :  0
Alex Michelsen

Oct 17, 2025 - Almaty Open

Jan-Lennard Struff
0 :  2
Corentin Moutet
Reilly Opelka Latest matches
L L L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 26, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Reilly Opelka
withdraw
Aleksandar Vukic

Oct 25, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Reilly Opelka
2 :  0
Mattia Bellucci

Oct 24, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Reilly Opelka

Oct 23, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Reilly Opelka
2 :  1
Botic Van De Zandschulp

Oct 21, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Reilly Opelka

Oct 19, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Reilly Opelka
2 :  0
Botic Van De Zandschulp

Corentin Moutet against Reilly Opelka : Head to Head (H2H)

May 1, 2025 - Aix en Provence, France

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Reilly Opelka
Compare Corentin Moutet and Reilly Opelka with our comparison tool.

Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka Key Points

  1. Corentin Moutet is 6-2 in his last 8 matches.
  2. Corentin Moutet reached the final of the 2025 Almaty Open.
  3. Reilly Opelka is 2-1 vs. Corentin Moutet head-to-head.
  4. Reilly Opelka is 7-4 in indoor matches in 2025.

Our Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelka Prediction

Fearless Forecast: I am taking a gamble here by picking Reilly Opelka over Corentin Moutet. Moutet might be playing well as of late, but Opelka has the weapons to frustrate the Frenchman. The American’s big serves are going to be his main weapons against Moutet, who is more of a tactical, finesse player. Opelka has accumulated 1,481 aces and won 82 percent of his first serves in all his indoor matches, while Moutet has compiled 240 aces and won 62 percent in indoor matches.

Our betting prediction for Corentin Moutet vs. Reilly Opelka: Reilly Opelka will win.

Prediction:

 

Reilly Opelka will win

+184
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Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelka Picks