Duke vs Mount St. Marys Mountaineers Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball

USA - NCAA Basketball

Duke
3/21/25 14:50
Mount St. Marys Mountaineers

Prediction:

 

Mount St. Mary's +31.5

-105
$150 offered for betting!

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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Basketball Picks

The first round of the NCAA tournament continues on Friday as the 16th-seeded Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers take on the #1-seeded Duke Blue Devils in the East Region. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this first-round game between the Mountaineers and Blue Devils.

Mount St. Mary’s enters this game with a record of 23-12. They are coming off a win on Wednesday night, beating American in the Four Four to advance to the first round of the NCAA tournament. Further, the win on Wednesday night was their first-ever NCAA tournament win in program history.

As for Duke, they enter this game with a record of 31-3, earning an automatic bid into the NCAA tournament by winning the ACC tournament. The Blue Devils beat Georgia Tech in the ACC quarterfinals, North Carolina in the ACC semifinals and Louisville in the ACC final. This will be Duke’s 47th NCAA tournament appearance and their fourth consecutive appearance.

Duke vs Mount St. Marys Mountaineers Form

Duke and Mount St. Marys Mountaineers Latest Matches

Duke
Duke Latest matches
W
Victories

1/1 (100%)

Defeats

0/1 (0%)

Mar 29, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Houston
51 :  54
Duke
W
Victories

1/1 (100%)

Defeats

0/1 (0%)

Mar 29, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Houston
51 :  54
Duke
Mount St. Marys Mountaineers
Mount St. Marys Mountaineers Latest matches
W
Victories

1/1 (100%)

Defeats

0/1 (0%)

Mar 19, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

American Eagles
72 :  83
Mount St. Marys Mountaineers
W
Victories

1/1 (100%)

Defeats

0/1 (0%)

Mar 19, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

American Eagles
72 :  83
Mount St. Marys Mountaineers
Duke vs Mount St. Marys Mountaineers Picks

Duke - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers Key Points

  1. Mount St. Mary's is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games
  2. Mount St. Mary's is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 games as an underdog
  3. Mount St. Mary's 5-0 ATS in their last 5 March games
  4. Duke is 1-2 ATS in their last 3 games

Our Duke vs Mount St. Marys Mountaineers Prediction

Duke is the overwhelming favorite with a spread so large that backing them is not worth the risk. Because of that, we will be looking at Mount St. Mary’s to cover. The Mountaineers have already played a game in this tournament so at the very least, they have already had some game experience. Not only did they beat American by double digits but they were extremely efficient from the field, shooting 57.7% and 40.9% from the three-point line.

Secondly, Duke superstar, Cooper Flagg is expected to make his return in this game after missing multiple games in the ACC tournament with an injury. You have to consider the fact that Flagg may not be 100% healthy and therefore, may not dominant as much as he is expected to. 

Even though this game looks to be a clear mismatch, it is still the first game of the tournament for Duke. The Blue Devils should win and win big but asking them to win by 30+ points is simply too much. For that reason, our Mount St. Mary’s vs Duke Blue Devils prediction is Mount St. Mary’s +31.5.

Prediction:

 

Mount St. Mary's +31.5

-105
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.