Morocco vs Tanzania Prediction & Picks - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Morocco
1/4/26 11:00
Tanzania

Prediction:

 

More than 3.5 goals

+160
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 by Erik Gibbs | in AFCON Picks

Morocco and Tanzania face each other on Sunday in an AFCON knockout clash that pairs one of the tournament hosts and favorites with a side already enjoying a historic run. Morocco arrive at this stage carrying the weight of expectation, having spent the past two years steadily building toward a deep continental push while balancing World Cup qualification, high-profile friendlies, and a packed international calendar. Their status as Africa's highest-ranked team has brought consistency, but also pressure, especially playing at home.

Tanzania's recent activity has been quieter by comparison, though no less significant in context. After navigating qualification with limited margin for error, they have treated this tournament as a statement opportunity, blending domestic-based players with a small core of experienced internationals. Simply reaching the knockout rounds represents progress for a nation that has rarely featured at this stage, and their recent schedule has been geared toward resilience and discipline rather than dominance.

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Morocco vs Tanzania Form

Morocco and Tanzania Latest Matches

Morocco
Morocco Latest matches
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 29, 2025 - AFCON

Zambia
0 :  3
Morocco

Dec 26, 2025 - AFCON

Morocco
1 :  1
Mali

Dec 21, 2025 - AFCON

Morocco
2 :  0
Comoros

Dec 18, 2025 - Arab Cup

Jordan
2 :  3
Morocco

Dec 15, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
3 :  0
United Arab Emirates

Dec 11, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
1 :  0
Syria
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 26, 2025 - AFCON

Morocco
1 :  1
Mali

Dec 21, 2025 - AFCON

Morocco
2 :  0
Comoros

Dec 15, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
3 :  0
United Arab Emirates

Dec 11, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
1 :  0
Syria

Dec 8, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
1 :  0
Saudi Arabia

Dec 2, 2025 - Arab Cup

Morocco
3 :  1
Comoros
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 29, 2025 - AFCON

Zambia
0 :  3
Morocco

Dec 18, 2025 - Arab Cup

Jordan
2 :  3
Morocco

Dec 5, 2025 - Arab Cup

Oman
0 :  0
Morocco

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Zambia
0 :  2
Morocco

Aug 30, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Madagascar
2 :  3
Morocco

Aug 22, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Tanzania
0 :  1
Morocco
Tanzania
Tanzania Latest matches
L L L L D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Tanzania
1 :  1
Tunisia

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  1
Tanzania

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
2 :  1
Tanzania

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

Kuwait
4 :  3
Tanzania

Oct 8, 2025 - World Cup

Tanzania
0 :  1
Zambia

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Tanzania
0 :  1
Niger
W W L L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Tanzania
1 :  1
Tunisia

Oct 8, 2025 - World Cup

Tanzania
0 :  1
Zambia

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Tanzania
0 :  1
Niger

Aug 22, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Tanzania
0 :  1
Morocco

Aug 9, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Tanzania
2 :  1
Madagascar

Aug 2, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Tanzania
2 :  0
Burkina Faso
W D D L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  1
Tanzania

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Nigeria
2 :  1
Tanzania

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

Kuwait
4 :  3
Tanzania

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Congo Republic
1 :  1
Tanzania

Aug 16, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Central African Republic
0 :  0
Tanzania

Aug 6, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Mauritania
0 :  1
Tanzania

Morocco against Tanzania : Head to Head (H2H)

Morocco

100 %

Draw

0 %

Tanzania

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
0%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
0
Goals scored (Team 2)
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5

Aug 22, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Tanzania
0 :  1
Morocco

Mar 25, 2025 - World Cup

Morocco
2 :  0
Tanzania

Jan 17, 2024 - AFCON

Morocco
3 :  0
Tanzania

Nov 21, 2023 - World Cup

Tanzania
0 :  2
Morocco

Morocco - Tanzania: Form Analysis

Recent performances underline the contrast between the two sides. Morocco moved through the group stage unbeaten, gradually improving as the matches progressed. An opening win was followed by a draw that briefly slowed momentum, but the hosts responded emphatically in their final group game with a convincing multi-goal victory that restored confidence and sharpened their attacking edge.

Across those matches, Morocco conceded very little, controlled possession for long stretches, and showed an ability to adjust tempo when required.

Tanzania's path was far more precarious. They opened with a draw, fell narrowly in a competitive loss against stronger opposition, and then relied on a late equaliser in their final group match to secure advancement. Their record shows modest scoring output and a defense that bends under pressure, but does not easily collapse. For Tanzania, results have been about survival and timing rather than sustained control, while Morocco's form suggests a team peaking at the right moment.

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Morocco against Tanzania Lineups: Starting 11

Morocco

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
Bono
2
A. Hakimi
5
N. Aguerd
25
A. Masina
3
N. Mazraoui
17
A. Ezzalzouli
24
N. El Aynaoui
23
B. El Khannouss
10
B. Diaz
20
A. El Kaabi
11
I. Saibari
5
D. Job
14
B. Mwamnyeto
4
I. Hamad
25
H. Mnoga
20
N. Miroshi
27
A. Msanga
15
M. Husseini
9
S. Mwalimu
6
F. Salum
12
S. Msuva
1
H. Masalanga

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Tanzania

Morocco & Tanzania Squad Analysis

Key players have played decisive roles for both teams heading into this fixture. Morocco's attacking output has been driven by a confident forward line, with their main striker showing clinical finishing inside the box and an ability to score from limited chances. Creativity has flowed through midfield, where the team's primary playmakers have dictated rhythm and contributed goals from advanced positions.

On the flanks, pace and overlapping runs have stretched defenses for Morocco, while leadership from the back has helped compensate for injuries that forced minor defensive reshuffles earlier in the tournament.

Tanzania's standout performers have emerged largely from moments rather than sustained spells. Their veteran winger has provided leadership and composure, particularly from set pieces, while a dynamic central midfielder has delivered crucial late goals under pressure. Up front, Tanzania have relied on opportunistic finishing rather than volume, and their goalkeeper has been one of their most important assets, repeatedly keeping matches within reach through timely saves.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Morocco
CD Huachipato Tanzania
Top Goalscorer
Morocco B. Diaz (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Tanzania F. Salum (1 Goals) Tanzania S. Msuva (1 Goals) Tanzania C. M'Mombwa (1 Goals)
Best assists
Morocco A. Ounahi (2 Assists)
Best assists
Tanzania N. Miroshi (2 Assists)

Morocco - Tanzania Key Points

  1. The Over is 3-2 in Morocco's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 3-2 in Tanzania's last 5 games
  3. Morocco are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Tanzania are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Morocco vs Tanzania Prediction

The upcoming match sets up as a classic AFCON contrast between control and resistance. Morocco are expected to dominate possession, press high, and use width to pin Tanzania deep, forcing defensive errors or fatigue over time. Tanzania are likely to adopt a compact shape, slow the tempo, and look for counterattacks or set-piece opportunities to disrupt the hosts.

Morocco enter as clear favorites, not only due to squad depth and recent form but also because of their strong historical record against this opponent. A Morocco win, potentially by multiple goals, aligns with most expectations, though Tanzania's ability to frustrate early could keep the match competitive for long stretches. Ultimately, if Morocco convert early chances, the game could open quickly, while a scoreless first half would favor the underdogs. Our prediction for Morocco vs. Tanzania: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

More than 3.5 goals

+160
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Morocco vs Tanzania - Other Interesting Picks

Brahim Diaz 0.5+ assists.

Odds +280
Diaz has shown elite efficiency for both club and country, recently providing several key passes and assists in competitive fixtures while leading Morocco's attack as their most influential creative force.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Morocco vs Tanzania Picks