Mazatlan FC vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX
Mexico - Liga MX
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by Stephen Abiola | in Liga MX Picks
Mazatlán FC and Deportivo Toluca will meet at Estadio de Mazatlán on Wednesday night in a Mexican Liga MX matchup. Mazatlán has struggled to compete consistently this season, sitting in position 17 in the Clausura standings with 12 points. They’ve managed to win only one of their 15 assignments, leaving them just 3 points ahead of Santos Laguna, who have a game in hand. This means Mazatlán can finish last if they fail to win their last two games.
Unlike the struggling Mazatlán, Deportivo Toluca has already clinched a playoff spot this season. The visitors have been hard to beat this year, having lost only two Clausura matches. This form leaves them fifth with 27 points, just 7 points behind the table-topping Guadalajara and 4 points behind the second-placed Pachuca. Their mission right now will be to win all games and clinch the No. 2 spot.
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Mazatlan FC vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +12 |
|
16
|
15 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -15 |
Mazatlan FC and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 12, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 20, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 15, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 6, 2026 - Liga MX
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 20, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 6, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 27, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 6, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 16, 2026 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 12, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 15, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 22, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 15, 2026 - Liga MX
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 15, 2026 - Concachampions
Apr 12, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 8, 2026 - Concachampions
Apr 4, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 22, 2026 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 12, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 8, 2026 - Concachampions
Mar 18, 2026 - Concachampions
Mar 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 8, 2026 - Liga MX
Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX
Apr 15, 2026 - Concachampions
Apr 4, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 22, 2026 - Liga MX
Mar 11, 2026 - Concachampions
Mar 3, 2026 - Liga MX
Mazatlan FC against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX
Jan 24, 2025 - Liga MX
Jan 4, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 17, 2024 - Liga MX
Jan 20, 2024 - Liga MX
Nov 10, 2023 - Liga MX
Mazatlan FC against Deportivo Toluca FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Alcaraz
DefenderA. Leyva
MidfielderA. Saavedra
J. Esquivel
ForwardFabio
D. Hernandez
G. Lopez
G. Adame
B. Arce
M. Lainez
L. Garcia
DefenderB. Mendez
E. Orta
MidfielderN. Castro
S. Simon
F. Romero
V. Arteaga
S. Cordova
R. Angulo
O. Virgen
Missing players
Helinho
Most goals and assists
Mazatlan FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
J. Ovalle
(4 Goals)
, 
B. Rubio
(4 Goals)
Paulinho
(6 Goals)
F. Almada
(3 Assists)
J. Gallardo
(4 Assists)
Mazatlan FC - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points
- The total goals went under 3.5 in the last four Toluca matches.
- The total goals went under 3.5 in three of the last four Mazatlán matches.
- Toluca won or drew six of their last eight matches.
- Mazatlán won only once in their last seven matches.
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Our Mazatlan FC vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction
Toluca are the warm -267 betting favorites. They’ll know that Mazatlán is under minimal pressure to win, so we expect them to attack the hosts from the first whistle. Toluca boasts the meanest defense in the league, having conceded just 11 goals this season. In comparison, Mazatlán has conceded 29 goals. However, we don’t expect Toluca to keep a clean sheet here, having failed to do so in their last eight league matches. Mazatlán also failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven games all-time. Keep in mind that Toluca won four of their last five games against Mazatlán, which sums up the top team in this contest. We expect them to extend this record with a nervy 2-1 victory.
Our prediction for Mazatlán vs Deportivo Toluca: Under 3.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
