Monaco vs PSG Picks & Prediction

Europe - Champions League

Monaco

2/17/26 15:00

PSG

Prediction:

Draw and both teams to score

+370

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Prediction published on 2/17/26, 11:41 AM by Simon Day | Modified on 2/18/26 at 2:50 AM in Champions League Picks

There's an all-French affair in the Champions League playoff round, as holders PSG take on Monaco in a mouthwatering matchup.

Monaco hold the home advantage for this Tuesday's first leg, but they will still go into the game as the underdogs, mainly due to PSG's formidable lineup of world class ttacking talent and excellent recent record in the competition.

However,when the two teams met earlier this season in Lique 1, it was Monaco who emerged as victors, thanks to a second half penalty from former Liverpool star Takumi Minamino.

Depsite that impressive result, Monaco are still languishing down in seventh place in the Ligue 1 standings, a full 20 points behind leaders PSG.

But whilst, Luis Enrique's side are setting the pace domestically, they have not quite hit the heights that saw them sweep to Champions League glory last season and they will need to significantly improve their performance levels if they are to retiain their title.

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Monaco vs PSG Form

Monaco and PSG Latest Matches

Monaco Latest matches

All Home Away

D D W L D W

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

Feb 13, 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco

3 : 1

Nantes

Feb 8, 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice

0 : 0

Monaco

Feb 5, 2026 - French Cup

Strasbourg

3 : 1

Monaco

Jan 31, 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco

4 : 0

Rennes

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Monaco

0 : 0

Juventus

Jan 24, 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre

0 : 0

Monaco

W L L D W W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

Feb 13, 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco

3 : 1

Nantes

Jan 31, 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco

4 : 0

Rennes

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Monaco

0 : 0

Juventus

Jan 16, 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco

1 : 3

Lorient

Jan 3, 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco

1 : 3

Lyon

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Monaco

1 : 0

Galatasaray

W W L D L D

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice

0 : 0

Monaco

Feb 5, 2026 - French Cup

Strasbourg

3 : 1

Monaco

Jan 24, 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre

0 : 0

Monaco

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid

6 : 1

Monaco

Jan 10, 2026 - French Cup

Orléans

1 : 3

Monaco

Dec 21, 2025 - French Cup

Auxerre

1 : 2

Monaco

PSG Latest matches

All Home Away

L W D W W L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

Feb 13, 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes

3 : 1

PSG

Feb 8, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG

5 : 0

Marseille

Feb 1, 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg

1 : 2

PSG

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

PSG

1 : 1

Newcastle

Jan 23, 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

0 : 1

PSG

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon

2 : 1

PSG

W D L W D W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

50% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG

5 : 0

Marseille

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

PSG

1 : 1

Newcastle

Jan 16, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG

3 : 0

Lille

Jan 12, 2026 - French Cup

PSG

0 : 1

Paris FC

Jan 8, 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG

2 : 2

Marseille

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG

2 : 1

Paris FC

W W L W W L

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

2 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

Feb 13, 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes

3 : 1

PSG

Feb 1, 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg

1 : 2

PSG

Jan 23, 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre

0 : 1

PSG

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon

2 : 1

PSG

Dec 20, 2025 - French Cup

Vendee Fontenay Foot

0 : 4

PSG

Dec 13, 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz

2 : 3

PSG

Monaco against PSG : Head to Head (H2H)

Monaco

17 %

Draw

17 %

PSG

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33

Total goals

50%

BTTS

Goals scored

2.33

Goals conceded

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco

1 : 0

PSG

Feb 7, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG

4 : 1

Monaco

Jan 5, 2025 - Trophée des Champions

PSG

1 : 0

Monaco

Dec 18, 2024 - Ligue 1

Monaco

2 : 4

PSG

Mar 1, 2024 - Ligue 1

Monaco

0 : 0

PSG

Nov 24, 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG

5 : 2

Monaco

Monaco - PSG: Form Analysis

Monaco's 3-1 win over Nantes at the weekend was just their second victory in eight matches in all competitions. Consistency has been the big problem for Sébastien Pocognoli's side this season, both domestically and in Europe. They can consider themselves slightly fortunate to still be in Champions League contention, having won just two of their eight fixtures in the league phase. Finding the back of the net was the big problem for Monaco, and their tally of eight goals was the lowest among the 24 teams to qualify for the knockouts.

PSG struggling for form

Despite their outstanding array of top class players, PSG have not been able to find their best form in the Champions League this season. The Matchday Eight draw with Newcastle consigned them to the playoffs, but in truth, it was the last gasp Matchday Seven loss at Sporting Lisbon that did the biggest damage to their hopes.

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Monaco against PSG Lineups: Starting 11

Monaco

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

P. Kohn

Vanderson

J. Teze

W. Faes

C. Henrique

L. Camara

D. Zakaria

M. Akliouche

A. Golovin

S. Adingra

F. Balogun

B. Barcola

O. Dembele

K. Kvaratskhelia

J. Neves

Vitinha

W. Zaire-Emery

N. Mendes

W. Pacho

Marquinhos

A. Hakimi

M. Safonov

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

PSG

Substitutes

Monaco

Goalkeeper

J. Stawiecki

Y. Lienard

Midfielder

I. Toure

S. Idumbo-Muzambo

M. Coulibaly

S. Adingra 70'

A. Bamba

Vanderson 70'

K. Diatta

M. Akliouche 58'

S. Nibombe

Forward

M. Biereth

F. Balogun 83'

PSG

Goalkeeper

L. Chevalier

R. Marin

Defender

I. Zabarnyi

Beraldo

L. Hernandez

Midfielder

L. Kang-in

K. Kvaratskhelia 69'

D. Fernandez

Forward

D. Doue

O. Dembele 27'

I. Mbaye

G. Ramos

B. Barcola 81'

Missing players

Monaco

Goalkeeper

L. Hradecky

Defender

E. Dier

M. Salisu

C. Mawissa

K. Ouattara

Midfielder

P. Pogba

T. Minamino

P. Cabral

Forward

P. Brunner

PSG

Midfielder

F. Ruiz

S. Mayulu

Forward

Q. Ndjantou

Monaco & PSG Squad Analysis

Monaco will be without several key players for Tuesday's game, as the likes of Takumi Minamino, Eric Dier and Lucas Hradecky remain out with long term injuries. Paul Pogba will also be absent, having not been included in Monaco's Champions League squad. On the plus side, Maghnes Akliouche is expected to be fit enough for at least a place on the bench, despite coming off injured during the 3-1 victory over Rennes on Friday night.

Ruiz and Mayulu to miss out

Midfielder Fabian Ruiz and Senny Mayulu will be absent from the PSG lineup on Tuesday as they continue to recover from minor injuries. However, Ousmane Dembele is likely to be fit enough to take his place in the starting eleven despite an injury plagued season so far.

Most goals and assists

Monaco

PSG

Top Goalscorer

F. Balogun (5 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

K. Kvaratskhelia (10 Goals)

Best assists

M. Akliouche (3 Assists)

Best assists

K. Kvaratskhelia (7 Assists)

Monaco - PSG Key Points

Monaco have drawn 3 of their last 6 matches
Monaco have coceded jsut 4 goals in their last 6 matches
PSG have gone 3 Champions League games without a win
PSG have won just 1 of their last 5 games at Monaco

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Our Monaco vs PSG Prediction

This could be a huge banana skin for a PSG side that look a long way from their best.

Monaco are hardly pulling up any tress themeselves, but they have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks and wil be on a high following their comfortable 3-1 win over Rennes on Friday night.

Over the course of two legs, we expect PSG to have too much quality for Monaco, but with the Stade Louis II crowd on their side, we really like the home side's chances of claming a first leg draw.

Our prediction for Monaco vs PSG is: Draw and both teams to score.

Prediction:

Draw and both teams to score

+370

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Monaco vs PSG - Other Interesting Picks

Simon Adingra first goalscorer

Odds +1400

There will be plenty of goalscoring threats on the field on Tuesday night, but we really like the chances of former Brighton and Sunderland star Simon Adingra opening the scoring. The winger put on an outsntading two goal display in the 3-1 win over Rennes, and will come into this game brimming with confidence. As such, 15.00 looks far too high a price for Adingra to be the first goalscorer.

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Over 3.5 goals

Odds +125

Four of Monaco's last five home games have featured over 3.5 goals. When you also consider the fact that PSG are averaging over two goals per game this season, it is no surprise to discover that we are predicting a high scoring encounter at the Stade Louis II.

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