Moldova vs Italy Prediction & Picks - World Cup

Prediction published on 11/13/25, 11:34 AM  by Erik Gibbs | Modified on 11/13/25 at 4:40 PM in World Cup Picks

The Moldova vs Italy international matchup set for Thursday presents a clear contrast in form and pedigree. Moldova enter this fixture still in a long-term rebuilding phase, while Italy look to consolidate their resurgence under new management after uneven years in qualifying campaigns. Moldova's recent results have been a mixed bag: they've become far more competitive than in previous cycles, even earning a handful of draws against stronger European opposition.

Over their last six outings, the Moldovans have collected two wins, two draws, and two defeats—an improvement from their historically lopsided losses. Most notably, they managed to hold Poland to a draw and edge past the Faroe Islands in Nations League play, showing increased organization and defensive structure. However, scoring remains a persistent issue; Moldova average barely a goal per match and often rely on set-pieces or counter-attacks for breakthroughs.

Italy, by contrast, approach this game in much stronger form. The Azzurri have rediscovered their rhythm following a turbulent post-Euro 2020 period. In their last eight games, they've suffered only one defeat—away to England—but have otherwise posted several convincing victories, including clean-sheet wins against North Macedonia, Albania, and Bosnia. Their defense, long the hallmark of Italian football, has regained solidity, conceding fewer than one goal per match across that stretch.

In possession, Italy have looked balanced: calm in build-up, disciplined in pressing, and more versatile in attack thanks to younger players complementing the veterans. They currently sit near the top of their qualifying group and appear determined to maintain consistency heading into the next major tournament cycle.