Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs Missouri State Bears Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
10/8/25 19:30
Missouri State Bears

Prediction:

 

Missouri State -2.5

-108
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 by Tyler Doty | in NCAA Picks

Missouri State travels to Middle Tennessee looking for its first conference win as an FBS school. The Bears are in their first year at the higher level as a member of Conference USA, and so far, they’ve handled things in an acceptable manner. Missouri State hasn’t looked overwhelmed the way Massachusetts has, yet it hasn’t set the world on fire like James Madison did. The Bears have competed and have won a couple of games to date.

Against Middle Tennessee, they’re the team expected to win, and it’s easy to see why. The Bears are coming off a visit from league leader Western Kentucky, which ended in a five-point win for the Hilltoppers. The score was a bit cosmetic, given that Missouri State scored a late touchdown, but that’s still an encouraging sign for the Bears to play to a respectable loss with their new league’s top tea

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs Missouri State Bears Form

Table

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders and Missouri State Bears Latest Matches

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Latest matches
L L W L L
Victories

1/5 (20%)

Defeats

4/5 (80%)

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Kennesaw State Owls
24 :  16
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
28 :  42
Marshall Herd

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Nevada Wolf Pack
13 :  14
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Wisconsin Badgers
42 :  10
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
14 :  34
Austin Peay Governors
L L
Victories

0/2 (0%)

Defeats

2/2 (100%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
28 :  42
Marshall Herd

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
14 :  34
Austin Peay Governors
L W L
Victories

1/3 (33%)

Defeats

2/3 (67%)

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Kennesaw State Owls
24 :  16
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Nevada Wolf Pack
13 :  14
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Wisconsin Badgers
42 :  10
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
Missouri State Bears
Missouri State Bears Latest matches
L W L W L
Victories

2/5 (40%)

Defeats

3/5 (60%)

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
22 :  27
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
42 :  10
UT Martin Skyhawks

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
10 :  28
SMU Mustangs

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Marshall Herd
20 :  21
Missouri State Bears

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

USC Trojans
73 :  13
Missouri State Bears
L W L
Victories

1/3 (33%)

Defeats

2/3 (67%)

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
22 :  27
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
42 :  10
UT Martin Skyhawks

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
10 :  28
SMU Mustangs
L W
Victories

1/2 (50%)

Defeats

1/2 (50%)

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Marshall Herd
20 :  21
Missouri State Bears

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

USC Trojans
73 :  13
Missouri State Bears

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders - Missouri State Bears Key Points

  1. Missouri State has played under in four straight games.
  2. Missouri State is 3-1 ATS in its past four games overall.
  3. Middle Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in its past eight games.
  4. Middle Tennessee has allowed 34 points or more in six of its past eight games.

Our Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs Missouri State Bears Prediction

Missouri State has a clear edge in this game because of Middle Tennessee’s weak pass defense. The Blue Raiders don’t give up a lot of yards through the air, but they routinely get torched for touchdowns. With 13 allowed this season, Middle Tennessee has allowed the most scores through the air of any school in C-USA.

Although Middle has thrown the ball well at times, the Blue Raiders don’t run well at all, making them highly one-dimensional. Missouri State cashes multiple unders because it plays defense well enough to slow down better attacks than that of Middle Tennessee. With the game flow likely to favor Missouri State on both sides of the ball, it seems likely that the Bears will have little trouble exposing holes in the Blue Raiders’ defense.

Our prediction for Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee is: Missouri State -2.5.

Prediction:

 

Missouri State -2.5

-108
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs Missouri State Bears Picks