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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Philadelphia Phillies will march into Saturday’s Game 2 against the Minnesota Twins as hands-down favorites at -201 moneyline after putting on another pitching clinic in the series opener.
Will the Phillies finish their regular-season campaign in smoking hot form?
Current Form:
The Phillies (95-65) secured the NL East title and an outright spot in the division series after establishing a 13-game lead on their closest trailers, the New York Mets (82-78), in the division standings. Over the last five games, Philadelphia has showcased exceptional pitching by posting a 2.54 ERA. The Phillies have also produced decent numbers at the plate, averaging 4.5 runs per game in this five-game spell.
The Twins have dropped two of their last three games, including Friday’s 1-3 loss to the Phillies. The loss further exposed Minnesota’s offensive struggles throughout the season. The Twins have batted .230 with an average of 3.5 runs per game over their last five games. Meanwhile, Minnesota has posted a stellar 2.09 ERA after surrendering 10 runs over this five-game stretch.
Starting Pitchers Matchup:
Twins RHP Mike Abel (2-4, 7.36 ERA) vs. Phillies LHP Ranger Suarez (12-7, 3.12 ERA).
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Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.594 | 160 | 95 | 65 |
|
27
|
0.431 | 160 | 69 | 91 |
Minnesota Twins and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 15, 2025 - MLB
Minnesota Twins against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
Mar 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 10, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Jul 24, 2024 - MLB
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Minnesota Twins - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- Minnesota is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
- Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Philadelphia.
- Philadelphia is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games.
- Philadelphia is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home.
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Our Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
ESPN Match Predictor gives the Phillies a 74.6% win probability for Game 2 of their series against the Twins. Philadelphia is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games and 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home. Projected starter Ranger Suarez, who boasts a 3.33 ERA over his previous five starts, aims to secure his first win against the Twins after losing his past two mound appearances against the team.
Minnesota, 3-7 SU in its last 10 games, is batting .242 with an average of 4.2 runs and 0.4 home runs per game against left-handed pitchers this season. The Twins will also start Mike Abel, who has surrendered 11 earned runs across his last two starts and has a measly 7.36 ERA this season.
Fearless Forecast: Phillies 7, Twins 5
Our betting prediction for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. the Minnesota Twins: the Phillies -1.5 Runs
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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