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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
Boasting a 33-25 ATS record at home, the Detroit Tigers are a hot pick to cover -1.5 runs in Game 2 of their series against the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday at Comerica Park.
The Tigers are 3-2 in their last five games to solidify their hold on the top spot in the AL Central with a 66-48 record. Detroit continues terrorizing teams with its excellent pitching, sporting a 3.35 ERA this season. The scary thing is, the Tigers have seen substantial improvement in their offense lately. In their last five games, Detroit has averaged 5.5 runs per game on a .268 batting average, a tad better than their regular-season averages of 4.9 runs per game.
The Twins have gone 1-4 in their last five games, and are eight games below .500 with a 52-60 record. In their last five games, Minnesota’s ERA has jumped to 6.23 after surrendering 13 runs to Boston and 6 runs to the Tigers in the series opener. Minnesota’s offense has also been on a tailspin, averaging 2.9 runs per game on a .205 batting average in their last five games.
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Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
0.537 | 162 | 87 | 75 |
|
27
|
0.432 | 162 | 70 | 92 |
Minnesota Twins and Detroit Tigers Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 4, 2025 - MLB
Aug 3, 2025 - MLB
Aug 2, 2025 - MLB
Aug 1, 2025 - MLB
Jul 30, 2025 - MLB
Jul 29, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 30, 2025 - MLB
Jul 29, 2025 - MLB
Jul 28, 2025 - MLB
Jul 27, 2025 - MLB
Jul 26, 2025 - MLB
Jul 25, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 4, 2025 - MLB
Aug 3, 2025 - MLB
Aug 2, 2025 - MLB
Aug 1, 2025 - MLB
Jul 23, 2025 - MLB
Jul 22, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 4, 2025 - MLB
Aug 3, 2025 - MLB
Aug 2, 2025 - MLB
Aug 1, 2025 - MLB
Jul 30, 2025 - MLB
Jul 29, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 4, 2025 - MLB
Jul 30, 2025 - MLB
Jul 29, 2025 - MLB
Jul 28, 2025 - MLB
Jul 27, 2025 - MLB
Jul 26, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 3, 2025 - MLB
Aug 2, 2025 - MLB
Aug 1, 2025 - MLB
Jul 23, 2025 - MLB
Jul 22, 2025 - MLB
Jul 21, 2025 - MLB
Minnesota Twins against Detroit Tigers : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Aug 4, 2025 - MLB
Jun 29, 2025 - MLB
Jun 28, 2025 - MLB
Jun 27, 2025 - MLB
Apr 13, 2025 - MLB
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Minnesota Twins - Detroit Tigers Key Points
- Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
- Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
- Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
- Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
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Our Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
The Tigers are my pick to cover as they have covered the spread in their last 3 wins over the Twins. Chris Paddack will be pitching against the same team that traded him to Detroit, so expect him to throw with something extra behind those balls.
On the other hand, Zebby Matthews will try to bounce back from a disappointing start against the Red Sox on July 30. In that game, Matthews yielded 5 earned runs over 4.1 innings in a 1-13 blowout loss to Boston. The trends also don’t bode well for Minnesota. The Twins are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Detroit and 1-4 SU are its last 5 games on the road. Betting on the Twins to win or even cover +1.5 run spread carries a lot of risk given the team’s recent form.
Our betting prediction for the Minnesota Twins vs. the Detroit Tigers: the Tigers -1.5 Runs
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