Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks
The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 meetings with the Oklahoma City Thunder. On Sunday, they will try to snag another ATS win or, hopefully, a straight-up victory over the defending NBA champion on the road.
Current Form:
The Oklahoma City Thunder will put their seven-game winning streak on the line in Sunday’s regular-season finale against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Outside of their two high-scoring wins over the Denver Nuggets, the Thunder have clamped down on the other six teams they defeated in this stretch, not allowing any of them to score more than 110 points. In his last six games, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.5 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 8.5 assists.
The Minnesota Timberwolves found themselves in a cluster of teams jockeying for position from third to sixth spots in the Western Conference. The Wolves just snapped a three-game losing skid with a 127-117 win over the hapless Golden State Warriors. Anthony Edwards dropped 42 points in this victory.
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.78 | 82 | 64 | 18 | |
|
10
|
0.598 | 82 | 49 | 33 | 2 |
Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Mar 12, 2026 - NBA
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Mar 12, 2026 - NBA
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 13, 2026 - NBA
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 7, 2026 - NBA
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 13, 2026 - NBA
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Oklahoma City Thunder against Minnesota Timberwolves : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jan 29, 2026 - NBA
Dec 19, 2025 - NBA
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Players list
A. Mitchell
L. Dort
A. Edwards
D. DiVincenzo
J. McDaniels
Substitutes
C. Wallace
J. McCain
I. Joe
A. Caruso
A. Wiggins
J. Williams
P. Sandfort
T. Shannon Jr.
J. Clark
B. Hyland
M. Conley
A. Dosunmu
K. Anderson
J. Ingles
Oklahoma City Thunder - Minnesota Timberwolves Key Points
- Oklahoma City is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games.
- Oklahoma City is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games played in March.
- Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Oklahoma City.
- Minnesota is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Wolves cover at +8.5 points in a close loss to the Thunder, 106-114
Minnesota has owned OKC in the last two meetings (112-107 on December 19 and 122-111 on January 29). However, the Wolves won both games at home while OKC captured the first game 113-105 on their home floor.
Minnesota has been really bad against the spread as of late, going 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games and 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road. But again, the Wolves like their matchups against the defending champs. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Oklahoma City.
If you think the Wolves are bad against the spread, the Thunder owns an uglier record of 0-7 ATS in their last seven assignments. OKC definitely knows how to close games with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander morphing into a bucket-getter in the clutch. However, there have been way too many close calls in the past three weeks for the Thunder.
Our betting prediction for the Minnesota Timberwolves vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder: The T-Wolves +8.5 points
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.