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by Matt Lowrimore in NBA Picks
Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Minnesota Timberwolves will continue on Wednesday as the series heads back to Oklahoma City. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this crucial Game 5 as the Thunder look to close out the series, while the Timberwolves look to extend their season another game.
Oklahoma City enters this game in an ideal spot, up 3 games to 1 in the series and heading back home to potentially close out the series and advance to the NBA Finals. The Thunder won Game 4 by a score of 128-126 after being blown out in Game 3. Oklahoma City had four players score in double figures in Game 4, including Jalen Williams, who scored 34 points, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored a game-high 40 points.
As for Minnesota, they are now in a must-win situation for the rest of this series if they are going to make the NBA Finals. The Timberwolves had six players score in double figures in Game 3, including three players off the bench. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led the team in scoring off the bench, scoring 23 points.
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches
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Minnesota Timberwolves against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)
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Minnesota Timberwolves - Oklahoma City Thunder: Form Analysis
Despite having won Game 3, Minnesota has been second-best in this series from the start. Their defense has let them down the most, as they are allowing 115.3 points per game. Further, Minnesota has not been the greatest on the road in the playoffs, going just 4-3 through 7 games.
“The Oklahoma City Thunder have been almost unbeatable at home in the postseason, going 5-1 SU through their first 6 games.”
The Thunder are starting to flex their muscles as they have now taken control of this series. They will now have three chances to win once and have not lost consecutive games in the playoffs. Further, the Thunder have lost just once at home in the postseason, and that was all the way back in Game 1 of their previous series against the Denver Nuggets.
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Minnesota Timberwolves & Oklahoma City Thunder Squad Analysis
While Anthony Edwards has been the best player for Minnesota throughout the postseason, he has had some less-than-convincing performances in this series. Edwards is averaging 24 points per game, but had his lowest total of 16 points in Game 4, which the Timberwolves ultimately lost by 2 points. Further, Julius Randle has not been consistent enough in this series. He is averaging 15.8 points per game, but scored just 5 points in Game 4.
“The Oklahoma City Thunder have three players averaging at least 17 points or more per game in the Western Conference Finals.”
For the Thunder, no one can deny that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the backbone of the team. He is averaging a staggering 30.8 points per game in the series and has scored 30 or more points in three of the four games. Aside from Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams is averaging 23 points per game in the series, and Chet Holmgren is averaging 17 points per game.
Minnesota Timberwolves - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- The Timberwolves are 4-3 SU on the road in the playoffs
- The Thunder are 5-1 SU at home in the playoffs
- The Thunder are averaging 116 points per game at home in the series
- The Timberwolves are averaging 95.5 points per game on the road in the series
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Our Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are set to return home after what should be considered a successful road trip. They are back to being nearly double-digits and, given the success they have had in their home games throughout the postseason and in this series, look to be a solid betting option to close out the series.
In Games 1 and 2, which were played in Oklahoma City, the Thunder won 114-88 and 118-103. This is an average win margin of 20.5 points per game. Further, the Thunder are averaging 116 points per game at home, while allowing 95.5 points per game at home.
Emotions are sure to be high as this is essentially an elimination game for the Timberwolves. However, the Thunder have been a step ahead of the Timberwolves for the majority of this series; therefore, our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction is: Oklahoma City Thunder ML.Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Other Interesting Picks
Jalen Williams Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made
Our second prediction for Game 5 in the Western Conference Finals will target Jalen Williams from the Thunder to make at least two three-pointers. Williams has made at least two three-pointers in 3 of the 4 games in this series. Overall, he has shot 11 of 22 (50%) from the three-point line in the series.
Throughout the entirety of the postseason so far, Williams has made at least two three-pointers in 10 of the Thunder’s 15 playoff games. Given his efficiency from the three-point line in this series, our second Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction is: Jalen Williams Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made.Jackpot Pools
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