Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
5/20/25 20:30
Oklahoma City Thunder

Prediction:

 

Minnesota Timberwolves win both halves

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 by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks

The stage is set for an intense Western Conference Finals matchup as the Minnesota Timberwolves face the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 1 at the Paycom Center tonight. The Timberwolves enter the series with confidence and momentum, having dropped only two games throughout the postseason.

Despite flying under the radar as the playoffs began, they’ve steadily asserted themselves as legitimate contenders, dispatching the Los Angeles Lakers in the first round and then knocking out the Golden State Warriors in the second. Their ability to overcome experienced teams with championship pedigree has made them one of the more compelling stories of the postseason.

This marks a return to the Conference Finals for Minnesota, who suffered a five-game defeat in this round last year. But this time, they appear more balanced, more seasoned, and potentially better equipped for the challenge.

The Thunder, on the other hand, entered the playoffs as the top seed and favorites to win the West. They lived up to that billing early on, sweeping the Memphis Grizzlies in the opening round. However, their path became much more treacherous in the second round, where they battled the defending champion Denver Nuggets in a grueling seven-game series.

The Thunder ultimately emerged with a dominant 125-93 win in Game 7, but the quick turnaround gives them less recovery time compared to Minnesota’s five-day rest period. Head coach Mark Daigneault now has a short window to prepare his squad for a rested and motivated Timberwolves team.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 14, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
110 :  121
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 12, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
117 :  110
Golden State Warriors

May 10, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
102 :  97
Golden State Warriors

May 8, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
93 :  117
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 6, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
99 :  88
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 30, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
103 :  96
Los Angeles Lakers
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 14, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
110 :  121
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 8, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
93 :  117
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 6, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
99 :  88
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 27, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
113 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 25, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
104 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
105 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 12, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
117 :  110
Golden State Warriors

May 10, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
102 :  97
Golden State Warriors

Apr 30, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
103 :  96
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
85 :  94
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 19, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
117 :  95
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 10, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
141 :  125
Memphis Grizzlies
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 18, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
93 :  125
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 15, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  119
Denver Nuggets

May 13, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
105 :  112
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 11, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
92 :  87
Denver Nuggets

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
104 :  113
Denver Nuggets

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 18, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
93 :  125
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 13, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
105 :  112
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
99 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
80 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 15, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  119
Denver Nuggets

May 11, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
92 :  87
Denver Nuggets

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
104 :  113
Denver Nuggets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
117 :  115
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  108
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  100
New Orleans Pelicans

Minnesota Timberwolves against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Timberwolves

50 %

Oklahoma City Thunder

50 %

Feb 24, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
131 :  128
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 23, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
130 :  123
Minnesota Timberwolves

Feb 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
101 :  116
Minnesota Timberwolves

Dec 31, 2024 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
105 :  113
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 29, 2024 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
107 :  101
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 20, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
102 :  97
Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points

  1. The Timberwolves are 7-1 in their last 8 road playoff games when underdogs vs. Western Conference teams after a win.
  2. The Thunder are 1-9 in their last 10 games when playing with a rest disadvantage vs. the Timberwolves
  3. The Timberwolves are 14-1 ATS in their last 15 games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage
  4. The Thunder are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as favorites after a win

Our Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

A significant part of Minnesota's success is tied to the return of Julius Randle. Though he missed time earlier in the year and the final two regular-season games against Oklahoma City, his presence has elevated the Timberwolves’ play on both ends of the court. With Randle on the floor, Minnesota boasts an impressive 30-6 record over their last 36 games. His size, physicality, and inside scoring add a new dynamic to their frontcourt that the Thunder didn’t have to deal with during the regular season.

In the regular season, Minnesota and Oklahoma City split their four meetings. However, two of Minnesota’s wins came without Randle in the lineup, which could be a key factor in this series. With him healthy and ready, Minnesota has an added layer of physicality and scoring that could challenge the Thunder’s versatile, fast-paced style of play.

Minnesota benefits from five full days of rest leading up to this matchup, giving the team ample time to prepare for the Thunder — a familiar opponent they matched up well against during the regular season. All signs point to a tightly contested series, with Game 1 setting the tone for what could be a battle of resilience. Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves: Minnesota to win.

Prediction:

 

Minnesota Timberwolves win both halves

+260
$1500 offered for betting!

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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks