Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks - WNBA
USA - WNBA
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by Stephen Abiola | in WNBA Picks
Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx will go head-to-head on Tuesday night at the PHX Arena. The Mercury started the 2026 WNBA season with a commanding 33-point win over Las Vegas Aces at home. However, they couldn’t build on that performance after losing 95-79 to the Valkyries on Sunday night. Despite the loss, Alyssa Thomas produced another MVP–worthy performance, registering 19 points, 9 rebounds, and 11 assists. They’ll be keen to bounce back on Tuesday.
Minnesota Lynx, meanwhile, haven’t had the most desirable start to the 2026 season. They kicked off their campaign with a painful 91-91 home defeat against Atlanta Dream on Sunday. But on a brighter note, it was a memorable outing for rookie Olivia Miles, who joined the league’s elite company. The No. 2 overall pick became the fifth player to score 20+ points and 5+ assists on their league debut. Miles will want to perform even better against the last season’s finalists.
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Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.75 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 3 |
|
12
|
0.32 | 25 | 8 | 17 |
Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 10, 2026 - WNBA
May 9, 2026 - WNBA
Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 10, 2026 - WNBA
May 9, 2026 - WNBA
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 9, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 9, 2026 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 1, 2025 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA
Phoenix Mercury against Minnesota Lynx : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA
Players list
D. Bonner
V. Ayayi
A. Thomas
K. Copper
O. Miles
K. McBride
C. Williams
N. Coffey
N. Howard
Substitutes
M. Akoa-Makani
S. Whitcomb
K. Williams
Q. Carter
J. Nogic
N. Brochant
M. Caldwell
N. Collier
D. Juhasz
A. Delaere
A. Kosu
E. Cechova
Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx Key Points
- The Mercury are 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings with the Lynx.
- The Mercury covered the -3.5 handicap in 14 of their last 15 victories.
- The Mercury covered the -3.5 handicap in their last five wins over the Lynx.
- The Mercury are 3-1 in their last four meetings with the Lynx.
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Our Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction
The Mercury are the -180 betting favorites. They’ll be led by Alyssa Thomas, with the 13-year veteran being tasked with leading them to another WNBA final. She’s undoubtedly among the most consistent players in the league, scoring 15.4 PPG and a league-best 9.2 assists last season. The Mercury is one of the teams tipped to dethrone Minnesota in the West, a task that they can accomplish by winning their head-to-head clashes. However, the wounded Lynx can attack viciously, which they showed in their painful 1-point defeat against Atlanta. Last season, they ranked among the most efficient offenses, shooting 37.8% from 3-point range and 47.2% from the field. The total points go over 169.5.
Our prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx: Phoenix Mercury to cover the -3.5 spread.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
