Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
9/28/25 20:00
Minnesota Lynx

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury ML

-185
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in WNBA Picks

The second round of the WNBA playoffs will continue on Sunday, and one of the games will feature a game between the Phoenix Mercury and the Minnesota Lynx. Let's take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Mercury and Lynx.

Minnesota enters this game trailing in this series 2-1. The Lynx most recently lost this past Friday night to the Mercury by a score of 84-76. Minnesota had four players score in double figures, including Natisha Hiedeman, who came off the bench to score a team-high 19 points.

As for Phoenix, they are in a great spot, taking a crucial 2-1 lead in the series with their 84-76 win over the Lynx this past Friday night. The Mercury can now win the series on Sunday and will get the chance to do so on their home floor. In Friday's game, Phoenix had three players score in double figures, including Satou Sabally, who scored a game-high 23 points.

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Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Form

Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  81
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  76
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  73
New York Liberty

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
60 :  86
Phoenix Mercury
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  81
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  76
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  73
New York Liberty

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  76
New York Liberty

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  88
L.a. Sparks

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  79
Indiana Fever
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
60 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
97 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
87 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
69 :  75
Phoenix Mercury
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  81
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  76
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
74 :  75
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
101 :  72
Golden State Valkyries
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
101 :  72
Golden State Valkyries

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
72 :  53
Golden State Valkyries

Sep 1, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
96 :  71
Dallas Wings

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
79 :  93
Seattle Storm
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  81
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  76
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
74 :  75
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
83 :  72
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
72 :  78
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
97 :  87
Minnesota Lynx

Phoenix Mercury against Minnesota Lynx : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

67 %

Minnesota Lynx

33 %

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  81
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  76
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
79 :  66
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  71
Minnesota Lynx

Players list

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack

M. Akoa-Makani

K. Copper

S. Sabally

A. Thomas

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx

C. Williams

K. McBride

A. Smith

J. Shepard

B. Carleton

Substitutes

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Brown

K. Williams

D. Bonner

L. Held

S. Whitcomb

K. Laksa

K. Westbeld

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
M. Kliundikova D. Carrington

J. Sherrod

N. Hiedeman

C. Taylor

N. Collier

A. Kosu

Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx Key Points

  1. Minnesota is 3-2 SU in the playoffs
  2. Phoenix is 4-2 SU in the playoffs
  3. Minnesota’s Napheesa Collier is a game-time decision
  4. Phoenix has no injury concerns
Up to $200 to bet on Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx! 

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Our Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction

Phoenix is ​​on the brink of advancing to the WNBA Finals, while, in the same sense, Minnesota, which has been the best team all season, is about to be eliminated.

The Lynx suffered a huge blow in Game 3, as their star player, Napheesa Collier, was injured and forced to exit the game. Collier is now a game-time decision for Game 4, but without her, the Lynx are not nearly as dominant.

Even if Collier does play, there is a chance she will not be 100%. Further, Phoenix has simply looked like the more complete team the past couple of games; therefore, our Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx prediction is: Phoenix Mercury ML.

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury ML

-185
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Picks