Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
6/7/24 22:00
Minnesota Lynx

Prediction:

 

Lynx -4.5

-110
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 by Carlos Zabala in WNBA Picks

Lynx started the season playing great basketball. They are 1st in the Western Conference with a 7-2 record. They face Mercury whom they have historically dominated absolutely. Not only have the Lynx beaten Mercury in 9 of the last 10 games, but they have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games as well. Lynx and Mercury played their first game of 2024 on May 31 and history repeated itself, Lynk won 95-71 and the odds had put them as favorites for that game by 6.5 points. Minnesota's offense has been the best in the WNBA so far this year. They are 2nd in Points, 1st in FG% and 1st in 3P%. Napheesa Collier is putting up spectacular numbers in 2024, entering the Top 5 of the WNBA in Points per game, Rebounds per game and Steals per game. Mercury has had a neither good nor bad season, but one aspect of the game where they have delicate flaws is in FG%, where they are last in the WNBA with 39.4. Mercury has an important active negative streak and they have a record of 0-8 ATS when they play on Fridays.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Form

Table

Teams % P W L
2 Minnesota Lynx
0.75 40 30 10
7 Phoenix Mercury
0.475 40 19 21

Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 4, 2024 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
80 :  62
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 2, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
87 :  68
L.a. Sparks

May 31, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
95 :  71
Phoenix Mercury

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

May 28, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
70 :  47
Phoenix Mercury

May 25, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  107
Dallas Wings
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 2, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
87 :  68
L.a. Sparks

May 25, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  107
Dallas Wings

May 23, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  80
Washington Mystics

Jul 1, 2023 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 29, 2023 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  63
Indiana Fever

Jun 27, 2023 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
62 :  77
Dallas Wings
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 4, 2024 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
80 :  62
Phoenix Mercury

May 31, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
95 :  71
Phoenix Mercury

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

May 28, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
70 :  47
Phoenix Mercury

May 21, 2024 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
88 :  98
Phoenix Mercury

May 14, 2024 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
89 :  80
Phoenix Mercury
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 5, 2024 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
62 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 2, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
87 :  76
Dallas Wings

May 31, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
95 :  71
Phoenix Mercury

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
66 :  80
Las Vegas Aces

May 26, 2024 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
79 :  92
Minnesota Lynx

May 25, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
84 :  67
New York Liberty
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 2, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
87 :  76
Dallas Wings

May 31, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
95 :  71
Phoenix Mercury

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
66 :  80
Las Vegas Aces

May 25, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
84 :  67
New York Liberty

May 17, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
102 :  93
Seattle Storm

Jul 9, 2023 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
89 :  113
Las Vegas Aces
W L W W
Victories

3/4 (75%)

Defeats

1/4 (25%)

Jun 5, 2024 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
62 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

May 26, 2024 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
79 :  92
Minnesota Lynx

May 23, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
83 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 1, 2023 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Phoenix Mercury against Minnesota Lynx : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

0 %

Minnesota Lynx

100 %

May 31, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
95 :  71
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 1, 2023 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  86
Minnesota Lynx
Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Picks

Players list

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
B. Griner

N. Cloud

D. Taurasi

K. Copper

R. Allen

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx

C. Williams

K. McBride

A. Smith

N. Collier

B. Carleton

Substitutes

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack

S. Cunningham

S. Sutton

L. Dixon

M. Harrigan

M. Bertsch

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx

O. Epoupa

N. Hiedeman

C. Zandalasini

D. Juhasz

D. Miller

A. Pili

S. Kone

Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx Key Points

  1. Lynx have covered the spread in 5 of their last 5 road games
  2. Lynx are 21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Phoenix
  3. no Mercury player in the WNBA top 5 in any category
  4. Collier comes from scoring 25 points with 9 rebounds and 3 assists against Sparks

Our Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction

The Mercury offense has had a major recent slump. Mercury's low FG% didn't even allow them to compete against Seattle on Tuesday. Mercury have one more day of rest than the Lynx, but this hasn't made much of a difference and the odds around -215 for the Lynx seem to lean even more towards the favorites as match time approaches. When Lynx wins it also tends to cover the spread. The Lynx have won by more than 4.5 points, today's spread, over Mercury in their last 4 matchups, including one in Phoenix. Our prediction for Lynx vs Mercury is: Lynx -4.5, -110 at FanDuel.

Prediction:

 

Lynx -4.5

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.