New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks - WNBA
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by Erik Gibbs | in WNBA Picks
The New York Liberty and the Minnesota Lynx are set for their second straight clash on Tuesday in what is shaping up to be another key battle with playoff positioning on the line. The two teams met recently, with the Lynx coming out on top 86-80 despite playing without Napheesa Collier, while the Liberty were missing Breanna Stewart.
That defeat carried heavy implications for New York, who slid from second to third in the standings, while Minnesota further cemented its hold on the top spot. The Lynx are now riding a six-game winning streak and have captured eight of their last nine overall.
The Liberty, meanwhile, are stumbling at a crucial juncture. They have dropped three of their last four contests and now sit third, just a half-game ahead of Phoenix and Las Vegas with six games left in the regular season.
Head-to-head, the contests have swung between defensive battles and shootouts. The first matchup produced 193 combined points, the second dropped to 154, and the most recent finished at 166. Minnesota has scored at least 83 points multiple times in the series while limiting New York to 80 or fewer on two occasions, a pattern that reflects the current gap between the squads.
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New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.773 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 1 |
|
4
|
0.614 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 3 |
New York Liberty and Minnesota Lynx Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA
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Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA
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Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
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Aug 2, 2025 - WNBA
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Jul 10, 2025 - WNBA
New York Liberty against Minnesota Lynx : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 20, 2024 - WNBA
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Players list
N. Cloud
S. Ionescu
E. Meesseman
L. Fiebich
C. Williams
K. McBride
A. Smith
J. Shepard
B. Carleton
Substitutes
R. Gardner
M. Johannes
S. Talbot
I. Harrison
B. Stewart
J. Sherrod
N. Hiedeman
C. Taylor
N. Collier
A. Kosu
New York Liberty - Minnesota Lynx Key Points
- The Liberty are 4-6 without Breanna Stewart
- The Lynx are 11-4 in their last 15 away games
- The Lynx are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Liberty are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction
Minnesota enters this matchup averaging 89.7 points per game on an efficient 47% shooting clip. Their defense has also been sharp, allowing only 78.2 points per game on 42% shooting from opponents. Even without Collier, Aubrey Griffin, and Dorka Juhasz, the Lynx have maintained balance and found production across the roster. Their ability to both score in the mid-80s and hold down elite offenses like New York’s has been the defining edge in this series.
New York is scoring 89.1 points per game on 45.6% shooting, but their defense has been far more vulnerable, giving up 84.1 points per game. Compounding matters, they are dealing with a lengthy injury list: Raquel Carrera, Ivana Dojkic, Betnijah Laney-Hamilton, Seehia Ridard, Nyara Sabally, Annika Soltau, and Stewart are all sidelined.
The Liberty have been trending downward offensively, often falling into the 70s lately, with Sabrina Ionescu cooling off after her strong start to the season. In contrast, Minnesota has remained steady in the mid-80s range, consistently generating enough offense to cover Collier’s absence.
With momentum, depth, and confidence all on their side, the Lynx look well-positioned to extend their winning streak. Even shorthanded, Minnesota has proven resilient, while New York’s injuries and recent form suggest another tough night ahead. If the trends hold, the Lynx should be favored to collect another victory and continue building separation at the top of the standings. Our prediction for New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: Lynx and Under 165.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
