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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
Fresh off a 7-2 win in Game 1, the Milwaukee Brewers will enter Saturday’s Game 2 with the Toronto Blue Jays as sturdy road underdogs (+123) at Rogers Centre.
The Brewers solidified their hold on the No.1 spot in the NL Central following another decisive win over Toronto. The 84-52 Milwaukee leads the 77-58 Chicago Cubs by 6.5 games with barely a month left in the regular season. The Brewers average 6.0 runs per game while sporting a 4.80 ERA over their last five games. Quinn Priester (5-0, 4.05 ERA) will be making his second career start against the Blue Jays. Priester surrendered four earned runs over 4.1 innings in a 4-5 loss to the Blue Jays last, when he was still a member of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
The Blue Jays still own the best record in the AL East at 78-57 despite going 2-3 in their last five games. Offensively, Toronto is still in terrific shape. They average 6.1 runs per contest on a .272 batting average in the last five games. As for their pitching, the Blue Jays have surrendered a 5.93 ERA in the stretch, which is significantly higher than their 4.25 ERA this season. If they want to go deeper in this year’s MLB playoffs, they will have to start pitching a sub-3.00 ERA for a better chance at topping elite teams late September and October. Kevin Gausmann, Toronto’s projected starter on Saturday, is 1-4 with a 4.06 ERA in his last five starts.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
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1
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0.62 | 137 | 85 | 52 |
4
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0.574 | 136 | 78 | 58 |
Milwaukee Brewers and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches

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Milwaukee Brewers against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)
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Milwaukee Brewers - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points
- Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
- Toronto is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games against an opponent in the National League.
- Milwaukee is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games on the road.
- Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the American League.
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Our Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Brewers are undefeated in Quinn Priester’s last five starts. Although there’s nothing special about Priester’s 4.05 ERA in his last five mound appearances, he always found ways to put his team in a position to win games. Milwaukee has also benefited from a strong bullpen that allowed a 3.97 ERA in the last five games. Also, don’t forget that this team can light up the scoreboard. They average 6.1 runs per game over their last five games.
Kevin Gausmann is 1-4 with a 4.06 ERA in his last five starts. Gausmann put on a show the last time he pitched against the Brewers on June 1, 2023, in which he logged 6.2 scoreless innings with 11 strikeouts. Gausmann is a strong starter when he’s in the zone, but I just can’t trust him right now because of how shaky he has been recently. Toronto is also 1-3 in its last four meetings with Milwaukee, which indicates the Brewers' dominance in the series.
Our betting prediction for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. the Milwaukee Brewers: the Brewers -1.5 Runs.
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