Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7/3/25 19:10
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 Total Runs

-119
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 by Matt Lowrimore in MLB Picks

One of the intriguing matchups set for Thursday night will see the New York Mets host the Milwaukee Brewers. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Mets and Brewers.

Milwaukee enters this game with a record of 48-38. The Brewers are expected to start Jose Quintana in this game, who has a record of 6-2 and an ERA of 3.30. Quintana’s most recent start was about average, allowing four earned runs over 5.2 innings against the Colorado Rockies in what was a 10-6 win.

As for New York, they enter this game with a record of 49-38. The Mets are projected to counter with David Peterson, who has a record of 5-4 with an ERA of 3.30. Peterson is coming off a poor start, one where he allowed five earned runs over 4.2 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates in what resulted in a 9-1 loss.

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams % P W L
6
New York Mets
New York Mets
0.563 87 49 38
7
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
0.558 86 48 38

Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets Latest Matches

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  7
New York Mets

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7 :  2
New York Mets

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
4 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
0 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
6 :  10
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
4 :  3
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
0 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
6 :  10
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  9
Milwaukee Brewers

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  7
New York Mets

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7 :  2
New York Mets

Jun 22, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
9 :  8
Minnesota Twins

Jun 21, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
9 :  0
Minnesota Twins

Jun 20, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
17 :  6
Minnesota Twins

Jun 19, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
8 :  7
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  7
New York Mets

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7 :  2
New York Mets

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  12
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 26, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
0 :  4
New York Mets
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  7
New York Mets

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7 :  2
New York Mets

Jun 26, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
0 :  4
New York Mets

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  7
New York Mets

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
7 :  4
New York Mets

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  2
New York Mets
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  12
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 20, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  10
Philadelphia Phillies

Milwaukee Brewers against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

Milwaukee Brewers

33 %

New York Mets

67 %

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  7
New York Mets

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
7 :  2
New York Mets

Oct 3, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  2
Milwaukee Brewers

Oct 2, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  5
Milwaukee Brewers

Oct 1, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  4
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 29, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
5 :  0
Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers - New York Mets Key Points

  1. Jose Quintana has allowed 22 earned runs in 60.0 innings this season
  2. David Peterson has allowed 35 earned runs in 95.1 innings this season
  3. The Brewers are averaging 4.73 runs per game this season
  4. The Mets are averaging 4.33 runs per game this season

Our Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction

Given how even these teams are in terms of their record, we will instead be looking at the total. One thing that immediately stands out is that Quintana and Peterson will be pitching in their best environment.

Quintana has been lights out on the road this season, posting a record of 4-0 with an ERA of  1.31 over six starts. As for Peterson, he is at his best when pitching at home. Peterson has a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 2.22 in eight home starts this season. 

With both pitchers in their preferred environment, our New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction is: Under 8.5 Total Runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 Total Runs

-119
$150 offered for betting!

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Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Picks