Purdue vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction & Picks - NCAA Men

USA - NCAA Men

Purdue
2/17/26 18:30
Michigan Wolverines

Prediction:

 

UNDER 156.5

-105
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 by Travis Pulver | in Basketball Picks

The new No. 1 team in the nation, the Michigan Wolverines, will have their first real test after ascending to the top spot, which comes on the road: Tuesday, February 17, against the No. 7 Purdue Boilermakers in West Lafayette. Fans can follow the action on Peacock once the game gets underway at 6:30 p.m. EST.

With Arizona losing twice, it was not hard to figure out who would be the new No. 1 team in the country when the new poll came out on Monday. Michigan had been the No. 2 team for the last six weeks and had won ten in a row, including two victories over top ten teams (No. 5 Nebraska, 75-72 on Jan. 27 and No. 7 Michigan State, 83-71 on Jan. 30). They last played on Saturday against UCLA in Ann Arbor and won 86-56. As for Purdue, the Boilermakers were the preseason No. 1 in the AP Poll. No. 6 Iowa State handed them their first loss on Dec. 6; they didn’t lose again until a dreadful three-game stretch in late January (Jan. 20-27 vs. UCLA, No. 11 Illinois, and Indiana). They’ve won their last four, including a victory over Iowa on Valentine's Day on the road (78-57).

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Purdue vs Michigan Wolverines Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
4 Michigan Wolverines
0.935 31 29 2 4
36 Purdue
0.742 31 23 8

Purdue and Michigan Wolverines Latest Matches

Purdue
Purdue Latest matches
W W L W W
Victories

4/5 (80%)

Defeats

1/5 (20%)

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Purdue
76 :  62
McNeese State Cowboys

Mar 20, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Purdue
75 :  63
High Point Panthers

Apr 8, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
75 :  60
Purdue

Apr 6, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Purdue
63 :  50
NC St.

Mar 29, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Purdue
80 :  68
Gonzaga
W W W W
Victories

4/4 (100%)

Defeats

0/4 (0%)

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Purdue
76 :  62
McNeese State Cowboys

Mar 20, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Purdue
75 :  63
High Point Panthers

Apr 6, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Purdue
63 :  50
NC St.

Mar 29, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Purdue
80 :  68
Gonzaga
L
Victories

0/1 (0%)

Defeats

1/1 (100%)

Apr 8, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
75 :  60
Purdue
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines Latest matches
W W
Victories

2/2 (100%)

Defeats

0/2 (0%)

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Texas AM Aggies
79 :  91
Michigan Wolverines

Mar 20, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan Wolverines
68 :  65
UC San Diego Tritons
W
Victories

1/1 (100%)

Defeats

0/1 (0%)

Mar 20, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan Wolverines
68 :  65
UC San Diego Tritons
W
Victories

1/1 (100%)

Defeats

0/1 (0%)

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Texas AM Aggies
79 :  91
Michigan Wolverines

Purdue - Michigan Wolverines Key Points

  1. Purdue leads the all-time series vs. Michigan, 25-24.
  2. Michigan won the last two meetings, but Purdue won the previous four.
  3. Michigan has not won in West Lafayette since January 22, 2021 (70-53).
  4. Purdue is 6-10 ATS at home; Michigan is 2-6 ATS on the road.
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Our Purdue vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction

A case can be made for either team to win this game. If Michigan can force the tempo, Purdue will struggle to keep up. If Purdue can slow things down, it can frustrate the Wolverines and force mistakes. I wouldn’t be the spread because this could easily be a one-point game either way. Taking the Michigan ML is a solid choice, but taking Purdue to win at +110 has value. Purdue will bring its ‘A+’ game at home and has played well against Michigan at home over the years. So, I think they’ll control the pace enough to keep Michigan’s offense from blowing up and the score relatively low.

Our Michigan vs. Purdue Pick: UNDER 156.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 156.5

-105
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Purdue vs Michigan Wolverines Picks