Arizona vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball
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by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Basketball Picks
The second Final Four game on Saturday night will see the #1-seeded Michigan Wolverines (35-3) from the Midwest Region take on the #1-seeded Arizona Wildcats (36-2) from the West Region. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Wolverines and the Wildcats.
Michigan cruised to the Final Four, beating the Tennessee Volunteers in the Elite Eight by a score of 95-62. The Wolverines have now won four consecutive games since their loss to Purdue in the Big Ten tournament final and have done so in dominant fashion. That being said, they will be matched up against their toughest test yet, and their dominant run could come to an end.
As for Arizona, they also comfortably advanced to the Final Four, beating Purdue by a score of 79-64 in the Elite Eight. The Wildcats have now won 13 games in a row, with their last loss coming back in February against Texas Tech.
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Arizona vs Michigan Wolverines Form
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Arizona - Michigan Wolverines: Form Analysis
Michigan’s run to the Final Four has been dominant to say the least. Their tournament run has consisted of a 21-point win against Howard in the first round, a 23-point win against Saint Louis in the second round, a 13-point win against Alabama in the Sweet 16, and a 33-point win against Tennessee in the Elite Eight.
“The Wolverines have won their tournament games by an average margin of 22.5 points per game.”
Arizona has been just as dominant, winning its tournament games by an average margin of 20.5 points per game. This includes a 34-point win against Long Island in the first round, a 12-point win against Utah State in the second round, a 21-point win against Arkansas in the Sweet 16, and a 15-point win against Purdue in the Elite Eight.
The only real challenge Arizona has faced was against Purdue, as they were losing at halftime before quickly erasing the deficit en route to a comfortable win.
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Arizona & Michigan Wolverines Squad Analysis
The Wolverines’ top player in the tournament has been Yaxel Lendeborg. He is averaging 21.0 points per game in the tournament, which includes 9 points against Howard in the first round, 25 points against Saint Louis in the second round, 23 points against Alabama in the Sweet 16, and 27 points against Tennessee in the Elite Eight. One of Michigan’s other top contributors includes Morez Johnson Jr., who is averaging 13.8 points per game in the tournament.
“Michigan has six players averaging 10+ points per game through the first four games of the NCAA Tournament.”
Arizona has had two standout players in the tournament, Brayden Burries and Koa Peat. Burries is averaging 17.8 points per game, while Peat is averaging 17.5 points per game. Aside from these two guys, Arizona has two other players averaging 10+ points per game in the tournament, which is why the Wildcats are averaging nearly 90 points per game.
Arizona - Michigan Wolverines Key Points
- Michigan is 3-1 ATS in the tournament
- Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- Arizona is 4-0 ATS in the tournament
- Arizona is 13-0 SU in its last 13 games
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Our Arizona vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction
Michigan is the small favorite in this game; however, Arizona looks to be the best betting option. Although Michigan has arguably been more dominant, its path to the Final Four looks to have been easier.
Arizona, on the other hand, had to go through both the SEC champion, Arkansas, and the Big Ten Champion, Purdue. Further, the Wildcats are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in the tournament, while the Wolverines are 3-1 against the spread.
Overall, Arizona has been better defensively, allowing 69.0 points per game, compared to Michigan, which is allowing an average of 72.3 points per game. Given this, our Michigan Wolverines vs Arizona Wildcats prediction is: Arizona Wildcats ML.Arizona vs Michigan Wolverines - Other Interesting Picks
Under 157.5 Total Points
While the offense has fueled the Final Four run for both Michigan and Arizona, it is defense that will likely be the deciding factor. As mentioned previously, the Wildcats have had the edge defensively, allowing less than 70 points per game on average. Michigan is right there with them, allowing just under 73 points per game.
Because of the high-scoring offenses shown by both teams, this total feels inflated, especially in a game as big as this. There are sure to be plenty of points scored; however, with the total this high, our pick will be under 157.5 total points.
Yaxel Lendeborg to Score 17+ Points
Our third pick for this Final Four game will target Yaxel Lendeborg, from the Michigan Wolverines, to score 17+ points. Lendeborg has consistently been Michigan’s best player this season, and that has carried over to the tournament.
He is averaging 21.0 points per game in the tournament and has scored at least 17 points in three of the four games during the Wolverines’ tournament run to the Final Four.
Further, Lendeborg has been efficient shooting the ball, averaging 59.2% from the field and 50% from three-point range. Given this, backing Lendeborg to score 17+ points in this Final Four game is our play.
Arizona vs Michigan Wolverines match : Frequently asked questions
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