Iowa Hawkeyes vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction & Picks - NCAA Women

USA - NCAA Women

Iowa Hawkeyes
1/18/26 20:00
Michigan State Spartans

Prediction:

 

Iowa -3.5

-114
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 by Travis Pulver in Basketball Picks

The No. 11 Iowa Hawkeyes (15-2, 6-0 Big Ten) will try to remain undefeated in Big Ten play when they host the No. 15 Michigan State Spartans (17-1, 6-1 Big Ten) at the Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, IA. Tipoff for this conference showdown is scheduled for 8 p.m. EST, with coverage provided by the Big Ten Network.

Both teams got off to strong starts this season. The Spartans won their first eight, taking their first loss when they faced Wisconsin on December 7 (78-64). They have since won nine straight, including six in a row in conference play with victories over No. 15 Ole Miss, No. 23 Washington, and No. 24 Nebraska. They’ve used a combination of strong offense (No. 8 in the country, 87.6 points per game) and solid defense (No. 68, 58.9 ppg allowed) to dominate the competition. As for Iowa, the Hawkeyes started the season winning nine in a row before taking their first loss against No. 10 Iowa State, 74-69. They took their second loss a couple of games later when they hosted No. 1 UConn, 90-64. Since that game, they’ve won five in a row, including a ten-point win over No. 20 Nebraska (all conference games).

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Michigan State Spartans Form

Iowa Hawkeyes and Michigan State Spartans Latest Matches

Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes Latest matches
W L
Victories

1/2 (50%)

Defeats

1/2 (50%)

Mar 24, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Oklahoma Sooners
96 :  62
Iowa Hawkeyes

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Iowa Hawkeyes
92 :  57
Murray State Racers
W
Victories

1/1 (100%)

Defeats

0/1 (0%)

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Iowa Hawkeyes
92 :  57
Murray State Racers
L
Victories

0/1 (0%)

Defeats

1/1 (100%)

Mar 24, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Oklahoma Sooners
96 :  62
Iowa Hawkeyes
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans Latest matches
W L
Victories

1/2 (50%)

Defeats

1/2 (50%)

Mar 24, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

North Carolina State Wolfpack
83 :  49
Michigan State Spartans

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Michigan State Spartans
64 :  50
Harvard Crimson
W
Victories

1/1 (100%)

Defeats

0/1 (0%)

Mar 22, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

Michigan State Spartans
64 :  50
Harvard Crimson
L
Victories

0/1 (0%)

Defeats

1/1 (100%)

Mar 24, 2025 - NCAA Division I, Championship Women

North Carolina State Wolfpack
83 :  49
Michigan State Spartans

Iowa Hawkeyes - Michigan State Spartans Key Points

  1. Iowa leads the all-time series vs. Michigan State 21-20.
  2. Michigan State is 7-12 vs. Iowa in Iowa City and hasn’t won there since February 7, 2016 (74-69).
  3. Iowa has won five of the last six vs. Michigan State.
  4. Both teams are 9-0 at home and 4-1 on the road.

Our Iowa Hawkeyes vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction

These are two very good teams that play well on both ends of the court. A 3.5-point spread may actually be a little generous: I’d say 1.5 or two would have been appropriate. But for a game that is expected to be so close, the details will make the difference. Michigan State is one of the top shooting teams in the country (No. 6, 50.2%), but Iowa is one of the best rebounding teams in the conference (No. 3) and the best on the defensive boards. Denying the Spartans the opportunity for second-chance points could be the detail that wins the game.

Our Michigan State vs. Iowa Pick: Iowa -3.5

Prediction:

 

Iowa -3.5

-114
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Iowa Hawkeyes vs Michigan State Spartans Picks