UCONN vs Michigan St. Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball

USA - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
3/27/26 21:45
Michigan St.

Prediction:

 

UNDER 134.5

-110
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 by Travis Pulver | in NCAA Basketball Picks

The Sweet 16 rolls on tonight with the Michigan State Spartans taking on the UConn Huskies Friday night at the Capitol One Arena in Washington, D.C. Tipoff for this Big Ten vs. Big East battle is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. EST. Fans can follow the action on CBS.

Michigan State had a relatively easy time against its first-round opponent, North Dakota State, winning 92-67. But their second-round game against Louisville was a bit more challenging. The Cardinals briefly held a small lead early on, but it was quickly erased, and Michigan State led the rest of the way. Louisville got within striking distance several times but couldn’t take the lead. Sparty went on to win 77-69. As for UConn, the Huskies needed a confidence boost after the 20-point beatdown St. John’s gave them in the Big East Conference Tournament finals (72-52). It was a little more challenging than it should have been to get past Furman in the first round (82-71). But they demolished UCLA in the second round, 73-57.

The winner of this game will move on to the Elite 8 to battle for a spot in the Final Four against the Big Ten’s Iowa Hawkeyes.

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UCONN vs Michigan St. Form

UCONN and Michigan St. Latest Matches

UCONN
UCONN Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 22, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
73 :  57
UCLA Bruins

Mar 20, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
82 :  71
Furman Paladins

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Florida
77 :  75
UCONN

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
67 :  59
Oklahoma Sooners

Apr 8, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
75 :  60
Purdue

Apr 6, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
86 :  72
Alabama
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Mar 22, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
73 :  57
UCLA Bruins

Mar 20, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
82 :  71
Furman Paladins

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
67 :  59
Oklahoma Sooners

Apr 8, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
75 :  60
Purdue

Apr 6, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
86 :  72
Alabama

Mar 30, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

UCONN
77 :  52
Illinois
L
Victories

0/1 (0%)

Defeats

1/1 (100%)

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Florida
77 :  75
UCONN
Michigan St.
Michigan St. Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 21, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan St.
77 :  69
Louisville Cardinals

Mar 19, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan St.
92 :  67
North Dakota State Bison

Mar 30, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Auburn
70 :  64
Michigan St.

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan St.
71 :  63
New Mexico

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan St.
87 :  62
Bryant Bulldogs

Mar 23, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

North Carolina
85 :  69
Michigan St.
W W W W
Victories

4/4 (100%)

Defeats

0/4 (0%)

Mar 21, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan St.
77 :  69
Louisville Cardinals

Mar 19, 2026 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan St.
92 :  67
North Dakota State Bison

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan St.
71 :  63
New Mexico

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Michigan St.
87 :  62
Bryant Bulldogs
W L L
Victories

1/3 (33%)

Defeats

2/3 (67%)

Mar 30, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Auburn
70 :  64
Michigan St.

Mar 23, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

North Carolina
85 :  69
Michigan St.

Mar 21, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Mississippi State Bulldogs
51 :  69
Michigan St.

UCONN - Michigan St. Key Points

  1. Michigan State leads the all-time series vs. UConn 4-3, but the Spartans and Huskies have not played since 2021.
  2. The OVER is 16-18 for Michigan State this season and 17-18-1 for UConn.
  3. Michigan State is 18-15-1 ATS this season; UConn is 13-23 ATS.
  4. Betting Public: 89% of TOTAL tickets and 79% of the handle are on the OVER.
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Our UCONN vs Michigan St. Prediction

Michigan State is ranked No. 9 in overall efficiency according to KenPom, and UConn is No. 10. The Spartans have a slight edge on the offensive end (No. 23 compared to No. 30 for UConn) while the Huskies have an edge on the defensive end (No. 11 compared to No. 13 for MSU). This suggests it will likely be a well-played game, as both teams are solid overall. So—how do you bet? It is hard to say who will win, so the best bet must be the TOTAL. With two teams with such good defenses on the court, I have to go with the UNDER.

Our Michigan State vs. Connecticut: UNDER 134.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 134.5

-110
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UCONN vs Michigan St. Picks