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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
After splitting the first two games, the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins will settle the score in Thursday’s series finale at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies, 6-4 in their last 10 games against the Marlins, are the heavy favorites at -164 moneyline and +128 on the -1.5 run line.
Current Form:
The Phillies bounced back from a heartbreaking 5-6 extra-inning loss in the series opener by blasting Miami 11-1 in Game 2. The win gave Philadelphia its first win after suffering back-to-back losses to the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Marlins. Over the last five games, Philadelphia has pitched to a 3.60 ERA and averaged 5.7 runs per game on a .274 batting average. The Phillies have secured the NL East title with a 93-65 record.
The Marlins' seven-game win streak was snapped after Wednesday’s loss, but they are still the hottest team in the NL East, having won 11 of their last 13 games. The Marlins have batted .265 with an average of 3.8 runs per game and posted a 3.86 ERA in their previous five games.
Starting Pitchers Matchup:
Marlins RHP Janson Junk (6-3, 4.27 ERA) vs. Phillies RHP Walker Buehler (9-7, 5.13 ERA).
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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.594 | 160 | 95 | 65 |
|
19
|
0.488 | 160 | 78 | 82 |
Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
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Miami Marlins against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
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Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Philadelphia.
- Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
- Philadelphia is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games.
- Philadelphia is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games against an opponent in the National League.
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Our Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Philadelphia Phillies flexed their offensive might when they destroyed the Miami Marlins by 10 runs in Game 2. Walker Buehler will be making his second start since joining the Phillies. The pitcher allowed one earned run over five innings in his first start vs. the Royals on September 12 and logged 3.2 scoreless innings as a relief pitcher versus the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Marlins are 7-1 SU in their last 8 eight games but only 2-5 SU in their previous seven games against Philadelphia. Miami will send starting pitcher Janson Junk, who carries a 3-2 record with a 4.80 ERA across his last five starts. Junk has not pitched against the Phillies, but Miami hopes he can tame the Phillies’ offense that has generated 5.7 runs per game over the last five games.
Fearless Forecast: Phillies 7, Marlins 2
Our betting prediction for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. the Miami Marlins: the Phillies -1.5 Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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