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by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks
The Phillies have the second-best record in MLB, three games behind the Brewers to take the best record in the National League. Even without achieving that, the Phillies have had a remarkable season, with a team that also strengthened significantly at the trade deadline, seeking glory in October. Currently, the Phillies are the second favorites, behind only the Dodgers, in betting to win the World Series, paying odds around +500.
For all the success the Phillies have had this year, with a monstrous season from Kyle Schwarber, who hit his 53rd home run of the season, the Phillies failed to beat the Marlins, and that's now three straight losses, adding to the two consecutive defeats they suffered in the desert against the D-backs.
Keeping a low profile, the young Marlins team—which has even been mocked for the fact that no one knows a Marlins player because it's a team made up almost entirely of rookies—has a surprisingly good 77-80 record and is in the midst of their best streak of the season, having won their last 7 games, all on the road!
With this, the Marlins have surpassed the Braves in the standings and have an incredible opportunity to record a winning season if they can maintain this streak.
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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
2
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0.586 | 157 | 92 | 65 |
19
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0.49 | 157 | 77 | 80 |
Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
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Miami Marlins against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
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Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- Seven of the Marlins' last 10 games have generated a Game Total of OVER in betting
- The Phillies' collective AVG is 2nd best in MLB at .260
- Phillies' pitching K/9 ratio is 3rd best in MLB at 9.15
- 41-38: The Marlins' road record this season
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Our Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Marlins are achieving their best run of their season late in September, and they did so without their best player, Kyle Stowers, who is injured with an oblique strain.
The Marlins' 6-5 victory on Tuesday in Philadelphia was achieved thanks to excellent relief from Simpson, who held the Phillies scoreless in the bottom of the 11th inning. It was a splendid day for the Marlins bullpen, which has grown weary of producing great relievers in recent years, with six different relievers, including Vellozo, allowing just one earned run to the Phillies in seven innings.
Jesus Luzardo is the pitcher scheduled to start Wednesday for the Phillies, having already struck out over 200 in 176.2 innings of work.
Our prediction for Marlins vs Phillies is: Under 8.5 runs.
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