Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Miami Marlins
9/24/25 18:45
Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-120
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 by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks

The Phillies have the second-best record in MLB, three games behind the Brewers to take the best record in the National League. Even without achieving that, the Phillies have had a remarkable season, with a team that also strengthened significantly at the trade deadline, seeking glory in October. Currently, the Phillies are the second favorites, behind only the Dodgers, in betting to win the World Series, paying odds around +500.

For all the success the Phillies have had this year, with a monstrous season from Kyle Schwarber, who hit his 53rd home run of the season, the Phillies failed to beat the Marlins, and that's now three straight losses, adding to the two consecutive defeats they suffered in the desert against the D-backs.

Keeping a low profile, the young Marlins team—which has even been mocked for the fact that no one knows a Marlins player because it's a team made up almost entirely of rookies—has a surprisingly good 77-80 record and is in the midst of their best streak of the season, having won their last 7 games, all on the road!

With this, the Marlins have surpassed the Braves in the standings and have an incredible opportunity to record a winning season if they can maintain this streak.

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Form

Table

Teams % P W L
2
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
0.586 157 92 65
19
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
0.49 157 77 80

Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
Texas Rangers

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Texas Rangers

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  4
Texas Rangers

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
9 :  7
Colorado Rockies

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  4
Colorado Rockies
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
2 :  0
Miami Marlins

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
4 :  6
Miami Marlins

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
2 :  8
Miami Marlins

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
0 :  5
Miami Marlins

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  8
Miami Marlins

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
7 :  5
Miami Marlins
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  2
Texas Rangers

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  3
Texas Rangers

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  4
Texas Rangers

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
9 :  7
Colorado Rockies

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
8 :  4
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  9
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
8 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  6
Los Angeles Dodgers
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
10 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  11
Philadelphia Phillies
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  9
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
8 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  6
Los Angeles Dodgers

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  5
Los Angeles Dodgers

Miami Marlins against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Marlins

33 %

Philadelphia Phillies

67 %

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
6 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  5
Miami Marlins

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  2
Miami Marlins

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
Miami Marlins

Jun 19, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
Miami Marlins

Jun 18, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  2
Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points

  1. Seven of the Marlins' last 10 games have generated a Game Total of OVER in betting
  2. The Phillies' collective AVG is 2nd best in MLB at .260
  3. Phillies' pitching K/9 ratio is 3rd best in MLB at 9.15
  4. 41-38: The Marlins' road record this season

Our Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Marlins are achieving their best run of their season late in September, and they did so without their best player, Kyle Stowers, who is injured with an oblique strain.

The Marlins' 6-5 victory on Tuesday in Philadelphia was achieved thanks to excellent relief from Simpson, who held the Phillies scoreless in the bottom of the 11th inning. It was a splendid day for the Marlins bullpen, which has grown weary of producing great relievers in recent years, with six different relievers, including Vellozo, allowing just one earned run to the Phillies in seven innings.

Jesus Luzardo is the pitcher scheduled to start Wednesday for the Phillies, having already struck out over 200 in 176.2 innings of work.

Our prediction for Marlins vs Phillies is: Under 8.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-120
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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks