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by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks
The Miami Marlins and New York Mets will face off in Game One of a four-game series today at 7:10 p.m. EST at Citi Field in Queens, NY. Technically, the Marlins are not out of the playoff chase. But they are ten games back with 29 left, making it possible, but unlikely. They’ll enter this series fresh off a disaster of a homestand that saw them lose six of their last nine games. New York, on the other hand, swept the NL East-leading Phillies to move within four games of the division lead.
Miami appears to be calling up Adam Mazur from the minors to start today. Mazur has one other start under his belt this season, a 4-2 loss to the Phillies at home on June 18. He pitched 5 2/3 innings, giving up five hits, four earned runs, and striking out five while walking four. Mazur will have his hands full against a Mets lineup hitting .342 over the last week with ten home runs and 49 runs scored across six games. As for the Mets, Clay Holmes will get the start. He is 11-6 in 26 starts with a 3.60 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .245 OBA. He has gone 5-2 at home in 13 starts with a 3.84 ERA and .217 OBA.
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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
11
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0.537 | 136 | 73 | 63 |
21
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0.471 | 136 | 64 | 72 |
Miami Marlins and New York Mets Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Miami Marlins against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Apr 9, 2025 - MLB
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Miami Marlins - New York Mets Key Points
- The Mets lead the all-time series vs. the Marlins 289-243.
- Holmes faced the Marlins twice in April; he pitched 4 2/3 innings in the first, giving up six hits and two runs in a no-decision, and 5 1/3 innings six days later, giving up five hits and four runs but getting the win.
- The Mets are 23-33 against the run line when favored at home.
- Betting Public: 90% of runline tickets and 89% of the handle are on the Mets.
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Our Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction
If you’re looking for a competitive game to bet on, don’t bother with this game. The Marlins gave up double-digit runs in their last two games and will be calling up someone to start today who gave up four runs in his only other MLB start against the hottest-hitting team in baseball. Holmes should have no problem controlling a Marlins lineup hitting .222 over the last week and averaging three runs a game.
Our Miami vs. New York Pick: Mets -2.5 (alt run line)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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