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by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks
The Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers open a three-game series this afternoon at American Family Field, with both clubs riding recent waves of momentum. The Marlins arrive in Milwaukee having won six of their last eight games, including back-to-back victories over the San Diego Padres.
Despite the hot stretch, Miami remains third in the NL East and faces a 10-game deficit behind the division-leading Atlanta Braves. Still, the team has shown resilience of late and will look to build on its recent success in what could be a pivotal road series.
Milwaukee, meanwhile, is among the hottest teams in baseball. The Brewers have won 12 of their last 13 games and are firmly in control of the NL Central standings. After taking two of three games against the Seattle Mariners and finishing with an emphatic 10-2 victory on Wednesday, Milwaukee returns home with confidence.
The Brewers’ strong stretch of play has been fueled by consistent pitching and timely offense, both of which have been key to their dominance over the past few weeks.
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Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
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0.596 | 109 | 65 | 44 |
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0.491 | 108 | 53 | 55 |
Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers Latest Matches
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Miami Marlins against Milwaukee Brewers : Head to Head (H2H)
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Miami Marlins - Milwaukee Brewers Key Points
- The Brewers are 10-0 in their last 10 games vs. NL teams
- The Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. NL Central teams after a home win
- The Brewers have covered the run line in their last 7 games
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in their last 4 day games vs. NL Central teams after a win
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Our Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Starting on the mound for Miami is right-hander Cal Quantrill, who will make his 20th appearance of the season. The Marlins are 11-8 in games he starts. Quantrill is coming off one of his most impressive outings of the year, tossing six shutout innings and surrendering only two hits against the Kansas City Royals.
Although he didn’t factor into the decision in that game, his recent form has been solid, allowing two or fewer earned runs in four of his last five starts. However, opposing hitters have been relatively successful against him overall, batting .281 on the season. He’s also been vulnerable to the long ball, having allowed 12 home runs along with 24 walks across his starts.
Milwaukee counters with Freddy Peralta, who has emerged as one of the National League’s top starters this season. Peralta enters today’s game with a league-best 12 wins, complemented by a 2.85 ERA (seventh in the NL) and 122 strikeouts (12th in the league). The right-hander has won seven consecutive decisions and recently defeated the Dodgers, giving up four runs over five innings.
That performance included a rare home run allowed—the only one he has surrendered in his last four starts. Peralta’s dominance at home has been a key asset for Milwaukee, and the Brewers will hope he continues that trend against the Marlins. This marks the second time the two teams have met this season, with Milwaukee having taken two of three games in their July series in Miami. Our prediction for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: Brewers to win.
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