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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The Boston Red Sox will go for the sweep today when they host the Miami Marlins in Game Three of a weekend series at Fenway. Fans can follow the action once the game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. EST.
Boston came into the series having lost four of their last six games on the road. But coming home has done wonders for the Red Sox as the team took Game One Friday night 2-1, scoring the winning run with an RBI single in the ninth. Yesterday’s game wasn’t nearly as close, with Boston winning 7-5. Garrett Crochet will get the start for the Red Sox. He’s gone 13-5 in 24 starts with a 2.48 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and a .223 OBA. Crochet has been solid at home, going 4-3 in 11 starts with a 2.43 ERA and a .218 OBA. He’s allowed two runs or less in his last three starts. As for Miami, Janson Junk gets the start. He has gone 6-2 in ten starts (15 appearances) with an ERA of 4.06, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .268 OBA. He has had his best stuff on the road, where he is 4-0 in five starts (eight appearances) with a .252 OBA.
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Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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9
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0.548 | 124 | 68 | 56 |
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22
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0.472 | 123 | 58 | 65 |
Miami Marlins and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches
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5/6 (83%)
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2/6 (33%)
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Miami Marlins against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
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Miami Marlins - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- Boston leads the all-time series vs. Miami 36-16.
- The Red Sox have won five in a row vs. the Marlins. Miami last beat Boston in the 2023 season (3-0).
- Boston is 15-11 since the break; Miami is 14-14.
- Betting Public: 86% of runline tickets and 87% of the handle are on the Red Sox.
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Our Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Junk is not a bad pitcher, but he has allowed at least three runs in his last five games. While Crochet gave up five to Houston his last time out, he surrendered seven total in his previous five games. He’ll get plenty of support from a lineup averaging six runs a game over the last week. Miami has averaged over five, but they might be lucky to score one vs. Crochet.
Our Miami vs. Boston Pick: Red Sox -1.5
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