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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Boston Red Sox have won their last three meetings against the Miami Marlins. Will the streak continue for the Red Sox, who have lost four of their last five games.
The Red Sox and the Miami Marlins kick off their series opener on Friday at Fenway Park. Boston is fighting to stay in the AL East championship poker and wildcard race, while Miami is struggling to get to .500 and perhaps finish the season with a winning record.
The Red Sox are 1-4 in their last five games. At 66-56, they sit in second in the AL East, trailing the 71-51 Toronto Blue Jays by five games. Boston’s offense is in good shape, averaging 5.3 runs per game on a .251 BA. On the other hand, their pitching has had a rough week, giving a 4.71 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.
Like the Red Sox, the Marlins’ offense are producing solid numbers over the last five games, averaging 5.4 runs per game on a .247 BA. Unfortunately, pitching has been downright atrocious. They have posted a 7.02 ERA and allowed 2.0 home runs per game in the said stretch.
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Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
10
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0.541 | 122 | 66 | 56 |
22
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0.479 | 121 | 58 | 63 |
Miami Marlins and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches

1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 14, 2025 - MLB
Aug 13, 2025 - MLB
Aug 12, 2025 - MLB
Aug 10, 2025 - MLB
Aug 9, 2025 - MLB
Aug 9, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 6, 2025 - MLB
Aug 5, 2025 - MLB
Aug 4, 2025 - MLB
Aug 3, 2025 - MLB
Aug 2, 2025 - MLB
Aug 1, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 14, 2025 - MLB
Aug 13, 2025 - MLB
Aug 12, 2025 - MLB
Aug 10, 2025 - MLB
Aug 9, 2025 - MLB
Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 13, 2025 - MLB
Aug 12, 2025 - MLB
Aug 11, 2025 - MLB
Aug 10, 2025 - MLB
Aug 9, 2025 - MLB
Aug 8, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 6, 2025 - MLB
Aug 5, 2025 - MLB
Aug 4, 2025 - MLB
Aug 3, 2025 - MLB
Aug 2, 2025 - MLB
Aug 1, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 13, 2025 - MLB
Aug 12, 2025 - MLB
Aug 11, 2025 - MLB
Aug 10, 2025 - MLB
Aug 9, 2025 - MLB
Aug 8, 2025 - MLB
Miami Marlins against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Mar 14, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 7, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Jul 4, 2024 - MLB
Jul 3, 2024 - MLB
Jul 2, 2024 - MLB
Jun 29, 2023 - MLB
Miami Marlins - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games against an opponent in the American League.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games against Miami.
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Our Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Bet on the Over 9.0 Runs.
The Red Sox and the Marlins are averaging at least five runs per game in their last five assignments. In their last three meeting, these two teams have combined for an average of 10.33 runs per game. Both teams are dealing with pitching issues right now, especially the Marlins, who are giving up a 7.02 ERA in the last five.
The starters for this game are Lucas Giolito of the Red Sox and Sandy Alcantara of the Marlins, who are pitching above 4.00 ERA in their last five mound appearances. Usually, the recipe for a surefire high-scoring game is having two teams that are scoring well but doing miserably on the mound. That’s what the Marlins and the Red Sox are right now.
Our betting prediction for the Miami Marlins vs. the Boston Red Sox: Over 9.0 Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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