Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA
USA - NBA
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by Carlos Zabala in NBA Picks
Miami had a very disappointing Saturday, shooting just 39.1%, which cost them what seemed like an easy victory. The Heat lost to the injury-plagued Pacers, who had lost more than 30 games. Miami had entered the game as a 6.5-point favorite at Gainbridge Fieldhouse but ended up falling 99-123. Tyler Herro led the visitors on Saturday with 21 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 assists.
Without a break, the Heat will play the reigning NBA champions at the Paycom Center on Sunday, and after what happened against the Pacers, the Thunder have become a 13.5-point favorite in the betting odds.
The Thunder continue to impress as a dominant force in the NBA, and their 18-2 home record backs that up. Oklahoma City may have suffered a rare 97-124 home loss to the Hornets on January 5th, but they bounced back two nights later with a 46-point victory over the Jazz, led by Gilgeous-Alexander. Then, on Friday, they defeated the Grizzlies 117-116.
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Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.825 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 3 |
|
8
|
0.513 | 39 | 20 | 19 | -3 |
Miami Heat and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 10, 2026 - NBA
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Jan 1, 2026 - NBA
Dec 29, 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 4, 2026 - NBA
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Dec 29, 2025 - NBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 10, 2026 - NBA
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Jan 1, 2026 - NBA
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Dec 19, 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 9, 2026 - NBA
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Jan 5, 2026 - NBA
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Dec 31, 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 7, 2026 - NBA
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Dec 31, 2025 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 9, 2026 - NBA
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Jan 2, 2026 - NBA
Dec 23, 2025 - NBA
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Dec 7, 2025 - NBA
Miami Heat against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Feb 12, 2025 - NBA
Dec 20, 2024 - NBA
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Jan 10, 2024 - NBA
Jan 10, 2023 - NBA
Dec 14, 2022 - NBA
Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- The Thunder are third in the NBA in field goal percentage at 48.8%
- The Thunder shot 47% from the field in their win against the Grizzlies
- The Heat have a 7-12 road record this season
- The Thunder are second in points per game this season in the NBA with 121.3
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Our Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Jalen Williams of the Thunder recorded a double-double of 26 points and 10 assists in their recent win against Memphis, a particularly impressive comeback victory after overcoming a 21-point deficit.
These teams are facing off in a similar situation to last February. On that occasion, the Thunder beat the Heat 115-100 and covered the bets in the season in which they were crowned champions.
Our prediction for Thunder vs Heat is: Thunder -14.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
